With 2023 coming to an
end, leading global broker FBS looks back at the significant economic events
and delves into the perspective of the financial landscape in 2024. FBS
financial market analysts point out that next year, financial markets will
stand at the cusp of transformation under the influence of the US economy,
global and local military conflicts, and the sprawl of AI.
As FBS experts further
stress, the cautious stance of the Federal Reserve on monetary policy and the
rising cycle in 2023 weakened the US dollar, impacting major currency pairs
like EURUSD. The FOMC press conference speech by Jerome Powell on the possible
easing of US monetary policy in 2024 pushed EURUSD to the resistance at
1.1000.
Global broker anticipates
that economic growth will slow down to 2-3% due to monetary tightening in 2023
and geopolitical tensions impacting international trade. In this context,
traders should consider volatile events and focus on risk management to mitigate
stop-outs and losses.
FBS analysts describe 2023
as a time when traders faced multiple liquidation risks amid media-covered
geopolitical and economic events. Market uncertainty was heated by the global
military conflicts that provoked gaps in XAUUSD and oil prices. By the end of
the year, oil prices went down due to the anticipated deterioration of economic
conditions in 2024, and gold prices experienced an upswing due to USD weakness,
emphasizing the need for prudence during unpredictable news periods. The
turbulent trend will likely continue in 2024, with oil prices fluctuating
between $70 and $100 per barrel and gold rallying to $2,300 as investors will
be awaiting the next inflation spike.
2023 was marked by
optimism for the cryptocurrency market, FBS financial market analysts point
out. BTCUSD demonstrated remarkable strength, gaining over 120%. Cooling US
inflation, anticipation of Fed rate cuts, and the collapse of tech-focused
banks early in the year contributed to Bitcoin’s resilience. Speaking about the
potential dynamic in 2024, FBS analysts underscore the high incidence of a
bearish trend in the first half of the year. Over the past weeks, Bitcoin has
been going up to the resistance area of $47,000. In this context, FBS experts
anticipate the recurrence of the 2019 events, when the Federal Reserve cut the
key rate due to a weakening economy, which sent risky assets, such as Bitcoin,
down – this time, the asset may even fall to the supports between $36,000 and
$25,000. Although the second half of the year is expected to bring more
positivity to Bitcion’s trajectory, the crypto movement will hinge on
regulatory changes, institutional adoption pace, and advances in blockchain
technology.
The rise of artificial
intelligence (AI) was another primary driver of 2023 that significantly
influenced the stocks of AI-related companies. This way, NVIDIA’s stocks
experienced a remarkable increase by 165%. However, FBS analysts highlight
their overbought nature and advise traders to monitor performance – if the
per-share price exceeds the $500 level, it will likely go up to $700.
Emerging markets are
expected to play a more significant role in the global economy in 2024, where
Asian markets will be especially attractive. According to FBS analysts, traders
can consider India, some Southeast Asian countries, and Brazil when planning
their trades. These geographies are poised for significant growth, offering new
investment opportunities and influencing global trade dynamics.
In conclusion, FBS’s
outlook on 2024 underscores the need for vigilance and strategic planning to
navigate uncertainties and opportunities in trading. Careful consideration of
the ripple effects of 2023 and emerging events will be critical in making informed
decisions.
For more information about
FBS’s services, visit www.fbs.com.
Disclaimer: This material
does not constitute a call to trade, trading advice or recommendation and is
intended for informational purposes only.
Contact
FBS Press Office
press@fbs.com