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Germany’s economy ministry forecasts a recession

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German newspaper Sueddeutsche Zeitung reported over the weekend on a dour forecast from German’s economy ministry, planning a downgrade to its 2024 economic growth forecast.

The new forecast will be for negative 0.2% growth, i.e. a shrinking economy, for 2024

  • prior forecast was for +0.3%
  • 2023 recorded a 0.3% contraction

For 2025, the forecast will be:

  • +1.1% (prior forecast +1%)
  • for 2026, +1.6%

The higher forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are based on implementation of government measures to stimulate growth.

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