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2 responses to the US CPI from Goldman Sachs – FOMC pause in June

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A couple of snippets from Goldman Sachs, their economists and then their asset managers.

Goldman Sachs economists:

  • We view today’s report as supportive of our call for a pause at the June FOMC meeting followed by a hike in July.

Goldman Sachs Asset Management analysts:

  • Today’s CPI number was a relief for the market, as the data met expectations, confirmed the dis-inflationary trend, and re-affirmed current market pricing of a Fed pause tomorrow.
  • However, the rate of dis-inflation remains incompatible with the Fed’s 2% target.
  • We expect the Fed to deliver a hawkish pause tomorrow and to highlight the possibility of following a similar path to the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada, who both hiked after a pause.

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