Deutsche Bank’s forecast for the Bank of England peak rate is now at 5.75%:
- projecting three quarter point hikes in August, September, and November as likely
- DB are not looking for another +50 as they expect downside risks to services inflation in the next data point
- DB does warn though that risks to their 5.75% terminal rate call are tilted to the upside,
- saying that inflation and wages may take longer to cool down
- a peak terminal rate of near 6% no longer looks unattainable
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Earlier posts on Bank of England responses: