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Australian July Manufacturing PMI (final) 49.6 (prior 48.2)

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S&P Global / Judo Bank Final Manufacturing PMIs for Australia in July 2023 hits its highest since fbr at 49.6

  • prior 48.2

The flash reading is here:

From the report, in brief:

  • “All the main activity indicators rose in July with output and new
    orders both rising although still in contractionary territory at just
    below 50.
  • “Employment has remained firm right through the slowdown
    in manufacturing activity.

  • “Export orders rose slightly in July but remain below 50, where
    it has been since December 2022. A cyclical slowdown in global
    manufacturing activity is weighing on the Australian industry
    alongside the domestic backdrop.
  • “The price indicators within the PMI survey suggest that input
    cost pressures picked up in July. The clear trend for weaker cost
    pressures over the past 18 months appears to have come to an
    end over the past 3-4 months.

  • “A pickup in the July input price index likely reflects the
    combination of higher labour and energy costs, offset by lower
    commodity prices and material input costs.
  • “The index of final prices continues to trend lower in 2023
    consistent with a clear disinflation trend for consumer goods
    prices which was revealed in last week’s official inflation statistics
    for the June quarter.

The points made on price pressures gel with what I am seeing elsewhere – the easy inflation gains appear to have been made and CPI could prove much more sticky in the months ahead. Which will be a challenge for the RBA.

The Reserve Bank of Australia statement is due later today, latest previews are here:

The latest cash and inflation rates from the RBA website.

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