This data will be very welcome at the Reserve Bank of Australia – headline and underlying inflation both falling in Q4 of 2023.
As well as ‘trimmed mean’ there is another measure of core inflation, the ‘weighted median’:
0.9% q.q
- vs. 1.0% expected and prior of 1.3%
4.4% y/y
- vs. 4.5% expected and 5.2% prior
***
This data is strongly indicative that the Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike cycle is over.
The RBA next meets on February 5 and 6. I expect it’ll be an on hold decision.