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Bank of Japan’s Noguchi says Japan’s economy is to recover moderately

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BOJ monetary policy board member Noguchi speaking

  • Says Japan’s economy is to recover moderately
  • the global economy and markets are a risk to Japan’s outlook
  • the shape of the yield curve is now smooth as a whole
  • new guidance shows the BOJ’s strong commitment to patiently keep easing
  • The inflation expectations of the Japanese public are yet to be anchored at 2%
  • BOJ must consider trade-off between economic stimulus effect and
    market function, in setting allowance band for 10-year yield target
  • What’s most
    important is to ensure momentum for wage growth becomes trend, by
    maintaining easy policy
  • Need to carefully gauge for now whether the ‘norm’ for inflation and
    wages is changing
  • Service prices are
    rising in Japan but impact of wage pressure not so big yet

That ‘smooth as a whole’ comment is a little unclear. I’m guessing he is referring to the fewer distortions seen since the BOJ widened the tolerance band for 10 Year JGBs to trade +/-50bp from around zero (from prior +/-25).

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