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Markets:Gold down $3 to $2342US 10-year yields up 9.8 bps to 4.39%WTI crude down 19-cents to $80.64S&P 500 down 0.4%AUD leads, JPY lagsFriday was the final day of the quarter and that made drawing conclusions tough. It was especially difficult because the US...
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SPX dailyClosing changes:S&P 500 down 0.4%Nasdaq down 0.7%Russell 2000 +0.1%DJIA -0.1%Toronto TSX Comp -0.5%The S&P 500 closed the half-year up a tidy 14% but today's reversal from an all-time high is somewhat ominous. However against that backdrop note that...
When I look at the July seasonals, there isn't much in the FX market. The patterns are minor and the moves small as the summer complacency sets in.One thing stands out though: US equities.The S&P 500 has climbed for eight straight years in July with an average...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
EURUSD monthlyMUFG discusses the potential impact of the French elections and the June NFP print on EUR/USD. The focus is on the risk premium already priced into EUR/USD and how the election results could influence further movements.Key Points:Current...
The future isn't a mystery.Generative AI is coming for almost everything. Why? Machines will soon be able to see and hear in real time and interact with the world. That will unlock robotics. That's why Elon Musk is pivoting Tesla to a robotics company. He sees the...
The Dallas and Cleveland PCE remix data illustrates why Fed officials and markets are feeling better about the pricing picture.One month annualized trimmed mean 1.4% vs 2.7% prior (lowest this year)Six month annualized 3.0% vs 3.1% prior12-month 2.8% vs 2.9%...
The US National Hurricane Center now sees a 100% chance of a tropical depression forming in the next 48 horus in the central Atlantic.Three storms are in the mix with one expect to cross the Yucatan peninsula on the weekend. The others should head in a westerly...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The S&P 500 touched a fresh all-time high today at 5523 (and counting). That marks the 32nd day with the index hitting a record high in the first half of the year.Today, Deutsche Bank compares the number of ATHs this year compared to historical norms. In short,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The EIA is out with its month report today, which is much more accurate than the weekly data. This is for April and it showed a 72,000 barrel per day increase to 13.248 million barrels per day, which is the highest since December.There has clearly been a stall in...
The S&P 500 has given back an early 40-point gain to a record 5523 and is now trading flat on the day at 5484.SPX dailyOnce again, I think bitcoin was the tell here as it sagged before stocks. It's since stabiliize though, down around 1%.I have a real hard time...
Median inflation +3.3% y/y vs +3.3% priorIf you don't know what it is, median PCE inflation is the one-month inflation rate of the component whose expenditure weight is in the 50th percentile of price changes.According to the Cleveland Fed:By omitting outliers (small...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The US political landscape could look far different when markets re-open on Monday.There are all kinds of rumors and reporting after Biden's disastrous debate performance. The main ones indicate that Biden and his team plan to continue but I don't really see those as...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
CNBC reported early today: Not only does Biden not plan to drop out, Biden remains committed to a second debate in September, citing an advisor. Other reports say that there is no pressure coming from his cabinet to resign.To be clear, the decision is his alone and to...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...