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ECB Pause More Likely – Eyes on Lagarde

Inflation is coming down on both sides of the channel, but while headline rates are dropping thanks to base effects, services price inflation in particular looks sticky. In Europe, the August flash HCOB PMI reports were a huge negative surprise, with the plunge in...

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FX option expiries for 25 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 25 August 10am New York cut

It's a quiet one on the expiries board, with not really any significant ones to take note of for the day.There is a large one for EUR/USD at 1.0825 which isn't too far away. However, the 1.0800 level and 200-day moving average at 1.0802 remains the more important...

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Germany Q2 final GDP 0.0% vs 0.0% q/q prelim

Germany Q2 final GDP 0.0% vs 0.0% q/q prelim

GDP (non-seasonally adjusted) -0.6% vs -0.6% y/y prelimGDP (seasonally adjusted) -0.2% vs -0.2% y/y prelimNo changes to the initial estimates as the German economy is seen stagnating in Q2. Given what we're seeing with the numbers so far until August, it is safe to...

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ICYMI: The agenda for the Jackson Hole symposium

ICYMI: The agenda for the Jackson Hole symposium

Just in case you missed Eamonn's earlier post here, this will just be a rehash of that. Powell will be delivering the opening/keynote speech, which is expected for about 25 minutes, at 1405 GMT. That will be one to watch alongside Lagarde's address at 1900 GMT, so...

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Here’s a $148K forecast for Bitcoin – Halving set up

Here’s a $148K forecast for Bitcoin – Halving set up

A forecast for a much higher BTC price from 'Panetra Capital'."Bitcoin has historically bottomed 477 days prior to the halving, climbed leading into it, and then exploded to the upside afterwards,""The post-halving rallies have averaged 480 days – from the halving to...

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Japan is considering fuel price relief measures

Japan is considering fuel price relief measures

A few comments from Japanese officials on fuel prices. There is nothing concrete and these may not mean much beyond seeking to calm nerves over high fuel prices, not helped by a weak yen of course (Japan imports are more expensive with the slide in the yen).Japanese...

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