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The inflation rate – at least the headline rate – which has fallen sharply in the last four reports (from 10.1% in March to 6.8% in July) has certainly contributed to the Old Lady’s expectations of aggressiveness waning, bringing the terminal rate...
Sees balanced risks to growth and unemployment in both directionsExpects inflation to be around the 2% target in two yearsShe's currently serving on the FPC and will only assume the deputy governor post on 1 November, so I wouldn't expect her to step on any toes with...
US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting.Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table.Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed...
It's a tough call but the bottom line is that if the ECB is unsure that they have done enough on rate hikes, then this week is perhaps the last opportunity for them to actually deliver one more. Otherwise, the ship might have just sailed and pass them by.With the euro...
Prior -71.3Expectations -11.4 vs -15.0 expectedPrior -12.3That's the lowest reading since August 2020 as the German economy continues to stutter amid growing risks of a deeper recession. The outlook reading was better than estimated and an improvement from August but...
Major currencies are still mostly little changed as we settle down after the whole fuss with the Japanese yen, which was stirred up by BOJ governor Ueda over the weekend. There hasn't been any follow through in the yen buying as we do see USD/JPY up 0.2% today to...
Eurostoxx +0.2%Germany DAX +0.1%France CAC 40 +0.2%UK FTSE +0.2%Spain IBEX +0.3%Italy FTSE MIB +0.2%US futures are mostly little changed, with S&P 500 futures just down by 0.1%. That's not really giving traders much to work with as we get things going in European...
US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting.Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table.Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Prior 97k; revised to -4kJuly ILO unemployment rate 4.3% vs 4.3% expectedPrior 4.2%July employment change -207k vs -185k expectedPrior -66kAverage weekly earnings +8.5% vs +8.2% 3m/y expectedPrior +8.2%Average weekly earnings (ex bonus) +7.8% vs +7.8% 3m/y...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting.Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table.Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed...
There aren't any significant expiries to take note of for the day. As such, trading sentiment will revolve around the risk mood and bond market developments if anything else. That being said, it's a quiet one today so there might not be much in it in terms of...
Ueda has said that exit from easy policy will be after achieving 2% price targetTook his comments to mean that BOJ will continue with easing as suchSo far, Japanese officials haven't really bolstered the narrative put out by Ueda's interview over the weekend. If...
After all the fuss surrounding BOJ governor Ueda's remarks yesterday, markets are not really up to much in the new day. In the FX space, dollar pairs are all sitting within 10 pips change of one another and that says a lot about the lack of appetite today.It's a real...
Session wrap Forex news for Asian trading on Tuesday, 12 September 2023 <!--> --> News and data flow were light during the session and major FX traded within narrow ranges. On the data front we had two consumer confidence surveys from Australia, both of which...
The European Central Bank meet on Thursday 14 September. The statement is due at 1215 GMT, 0815 US Eastern time, with President Lagarde's press conference a half hour later. Bank of America are expecting a 25bp rate rise for all three policy rates. Analysts at the...
Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki spoke earlier at his regular news conference. He didn't have much of note to say: Specific monetary policy up to boj to decideExpects the BOJ to conduct monetary policy appropriatelyExpects the BOJ to work closely with the...
Reuters reporting, citing unnamed sources: Country Garden wins approval to extend six onshore bond repayments by 3 yearsThis is a positive news item for Chinese stocks, especially those in the property sector. Many of these are Hong Kong-listed. Its also good news for...
UBS with some advice for Bank of Japan Governor Ueda re this:And the PBOC re this:UBS are blunt:Bank of Japan Governor Ueda commented about perhaps being able to judge if (nominal) wage growth was sustainable at the end of the year. The fevered world of foreign...