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Commonwealth Bank of Australia analysts after yesterday's RBA decision. In summary:cash rate steady at 4.10% in September, the third consecutive on hold decisionA tightening bias was retained, with uncertainty around services inflation still top of mind. China risks...
Michael Wilson, Morgan Stanley's chief investment officer, sounding the warning on US stock prices again. Summary points from a client note:Breadth remains weak for S&P 500 and NasdaqAI beneficiaries continue to support US investors are pricing in too much...
Crytocurrency exchange Coinbase Global has told Reuters that its launching a digital asset lending platform.to be aimed at large institutional investorsReuters adds that Coinbase has raised US$57 million for its new crypto-lending platform according to a regulatory...
Japan's Finance Ministry's Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Kanda. He is the guy who will instruct the BOJ to intervene, when he judges it necessary. Often referred to as Japan's 'top currency diplomat'. Seeing speculative moves in forex, speculative...
U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo comments from an interview tih CNBC:says does not expect any changes to the US tariffs imposed on China by the Trump administration until the ongoing review but the US Treasury is completeNeither do I. The tariffs Trump imposed...
Remember all the folks screaming about how awful a US government shutdown and potential default would be?And then Fitch listened and downgraded the US on governance worries?And then all those folks screaming about a default laughed at Fitch? Plonkers. Anyway, here we...
The Reserve Bank of Australia remained on hold at its meeting on Tuesday:Of Australia's four big banks ANZ, CBA and Westpac have forecast no further cash rate rises from the Reserve Bank of Australia. National Australia Bank, however, is still tipping one more, at the...
Westpac note on the Fed, China, and the Australian dollar. The US economy and the equity market have proved much more resilient to the FOMC’s tightening cycle than earlier anticipated.Our expectation for (US) inflation ... 6–month annualised inflation back at 2.0% by...
Banco Central de Chile with a 75bp rate cut.a 100 bp cut was the consensus expectedcites falling inflation, was 6.5% in July, down from 7.6% in June (peaked just over 14% in August 2022) ... "The macroeconomic scenario has evolved as anticipated, projecting that...
An analyst at Morgan Stanley Investment Management is worried about persistent US inflation:“I’m more worried about 2024 than I am about 2023” “Right now, the monthly year-over-year inflation numbers are coming down, but that’s going to get tougher next year. The bar...
Markets:Gold down $13 to $1925US 10-year yields down 9.9 bps to 4.27%WTI crude oil up $1.12 to $86.67S&P 500 down 0.4%USD leads, AUD lagsThe US dollar was strong as North American traders returned from a holiday. The driver was bond yields as they rose for a...
At 0130 GMT on Wednesday, 6 September 2023, which is 2130 US Eastern time on Tuesday 5 September, Bank of Japan board member Hajime Takata delivers a speech and afterwards holds a news conference.We don't hear from Takata much, the last time I have a record of him...
The headline here sounds more dramatic than it was. US equities opened soft and then there was some modest buying to bring them back to unchanged, then late they slumped again to just below the opening lows.S&P 500 down 0.4%DJIA -0.6%Russell 2000 -2.0%Nasdaq Comp...
It's a threadbare data calendar for the session ahead.Australian Q2 economic growth is expected to avoid contracting. This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access it here. The times in the left-most column are GMT. The numbers in the right-most...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US 10 year yieldThe bond rout on Friday and today has been a tough one to explain. Oil prices have risen but nothing has materially changed in the fundamental or Fed view.Earlier, I brought you talk that corporate bond issuance was something people in the bond market...
The Canadian dollar is undoubtedly a commodity currency and its largest export by far is crude oil. So why is oil at a 10-month high and the Canadian dollar at a 5-month low?Here are some of the things dragging down the loonie:Worries about global growth --...
USDCAD dailyMUFG suggests that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may not be in a hurry to increase rates, especially after the recent disappointing Q2 GDP report. However, they also note that the Canadian dollar (CAD) is trading at undervalued levels, suggesting that much of...
United Airlines has issued a nationwide ground stop for all flights due to a computer issue, according to the FAA.You have to wonder if there's some incompetence here in the systems or if hackers are exploiting something for ransom. In either case, these computer...