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Markets:Gold flat at $1940US 10-year yields up 8.8 bps to 4.18%WTI crude oil up $2.25 to $85.88S&P 500 up 0.1%USD leads, CAD lagsThe initial market reaction to the non-farm payrolls report was about what you would expect -- USD selling, bonds bid -- but then it...
SPX weekly chartClosing changes:S&P 500 +0.2%DJIA +0.3%Nasdaq Comp flatRussell 2000 +1.0%Toronto TSX Comp +1.2%Weekly:S&P 500 +2.5%DJIA +1.4%Nasdaq Comp +3.2%Russell 2000 +3.6%Toronto TSX Comp +3.5%There were some larger divergences with energy leading the way...
The September dot plot is always the most-interesting one of the year because it's the closest thing to forward guidance that the FOMC offers. Officials are required to place a year-end dot but there are only two meetings left so it basically says what they expect to...
EURCAD dailyGoldman Sachs maintains its recommendation for a short position in EUR/CAD with a target of 1.42 and a stop at 1.50. The rationale behind this trade is largely based on the resilience of the U.S. economy and the potential for upside in the Bank of Canada's...
Monday is Labor Day in the United States and Canada so the stock, bond and futures markets will be closed while the FX market will be severely thinned. The economic calendar is bare and I wouldn't expect too much drama.Remember: Safety first in the forex...
BTC dailyIt's been a volatile week for bitcoin and it's ending on a poor note. Bitcoin is down $570 or 2.2$ to $25,445. That's just above the August low of $25,350.Bitcoin popped on Tuesday after the SEC won a court case brought by Grayscale and its improper dismissal...
US oil and natural gas drilling rigsOil rigs unchanged at 512Gas rigs down 1 to 114Oil rigs down 16% from the peakIf I'm OPEC+ and looking at this, I feel totally in control. There's no surge of US production coming to counter OPEC cuts.Some notes from John Kemp:Based...
The Atlanta Fed left its GDP tracker for Q3 unchanged today:After this morning's releases from the US Census Bureau, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the Institute for Supply Management, an increase in the nowcast of third-quarter real gross private domestic...
It was a round trip in the DAX as it started soft, recovered and then finished on the floor.On the day:Stoxx 600 flatGerman DAX +0.6%Francis CAC -0.3%UK's FTSE 100 +0.4%Spain's Ibex -0.6%Italy's FTSE MIB -0.6%On the week:Stoxx 600 +1.5%German DAX +1.3%Francis CAC...
GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis and ChartsThe 2023 UK Annual National Accounts revise prior GDP releases higher.Next week’s economic calendar is uninspiring.For all market-moving economic data and events, see the DailyFX CalendarThe newly released UK Annual National...
USDCAD dailyBank of America (BofA) analysts are suggesting that traders consider selling USD rallies, particularly against the Canadian Dollar (CAD), Japanese Yen (JPY), Israeli Shekel (ILS), and Indian Rupee (INR). The team identifies specific technical indicators...
It's unclear what's happening in the bond market today as US 30-year yields lead the way higher, up 8.5 bps to 4.288%. The front-end is more subdued with 2s flat at 4.85%, though well-above the post-NFP low of 4.76%.Given the dovish data today, it's tough to explain...
Treasury yields and the Dollar tumbled while equity futures rallied on the August jobs report that showed more cooling than expected. This report was close to Goldilocks with slowing in employment with a 2023 average monthly gain of 236k versus 399k for 2022. The...
US construction spendingUS construction spending for July % versus 0.5% expectedtotal construction spending $1,972.6 billion versus $1,938.4 billion last monthConstruction spending year on year +5.5% vs +3.5% priorprivate construction +1.0% vs +0.5% priorresidential...
ISM manufacturingPrior report 46.4Prices paid 48.4 vs 43.9 expected. Last month 42.6Employment 48.5 vs 44.2 expected. Last month 44.4New orders 46.8 vs 47.3 priorManufacturing has been in a recession for some time but there are some green shoots. I suspect this survey...
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester gives closing remarks onsite before hybrid Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics Conference 2023 in Frankfurt, Germany. She's well-traveled at the moment as she spoke at Jackson Hole a week ago.Job market still...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Canada PMIPrior was 49.6Fourth month below 50Lowest since June 2020Fifth straight decline in new orders; lowest since MarchFull reportCommenting on the latest survey results, Paul Smith, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence said: “Canada’s...