Prior 45.3The headline reading is a 39-month low as UK manufacturing activity takes a big hit in August. Factory orders are seen tumbling in the face of higher rates with demand also being hit by weaker domestic and export conditions. S&P Global notes that:“August...
Reminder: It is a US holiday on Monday
It's the start of a new month and we also have the US jobs report to contend with. So, when you throw in perhaps some positioning flows -or lack thereof - before an extended weekend, that might make things tricky to decipher later in the day. Anyway, I would lean...
Italy Q2 final GDP -0.4% vs -0.3% q/q prelim
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Eurozone August final manufacturing PMI 43.5 vs 43.7 prelim
> Eurozone August final manufacturing PMI 43.5 vs 43.7 prelim Latest data released by HCOB - 1 September 2023 <!--> Justin Low Friday, 01/09/2023 | 08:00 GMT-0 01/09/2023 | 08:00 GMT-0 --> <!--> Prior 42.7 ADVERTISEMENT - CONTINUE READING BELOW...
Germany August final manufacturing PMI 39.1 vs 39.1 prelim
Prior 38.8No change to the initial estimate as Germany's manufacturing sector remains in a deep recession, with output falling at its fastest pace since May 2020. Subdued demand conditions continue to be the root cause of the problems here but at least there is some...
France August final manufacturing PMI 46.0 vs 46.4 prelim
Prior 45.1It's a slight revision lower but at least the reading is better than July. That said, it still points to a contraction in France's manufacturing sector as new orders declined at an accelerated pace in August. HCOB notes that:“France's manufacturing sector...
Stocks nudge a little higher in opening hour of European trading
It looks to be the case as S&P 500 futures have now climbed to be up 12 points on the day, or 0.27%, currently. Nasdaq futures are up 0.19% and Dow futures up 0.31% as well at the moment.In Europe, major indices are also now sitting higher after a bit more of a...
Italy August manufacturing PMI 45.4 vs 46.0 expected
Prior 44.5Italy's manufacturing sector stays in a downturn in August with production and new orders continuing to fall sharply on the month. The added negative development is that job losses were signalled for the first time since August 2020. HCOB notes that:“The...
Switzerland August manufacturing PMI 39.9 vs 40.0 expected
Prior 38.5That's a slight improvement in Swiss manufacturing activity but it still points to a rather strong contraction after the plunge in July. Output continues to show further signs of falling but the good news at least is that inflationary pressures have eased...
USDJPY Technical Analysis – Signs of a top are emerging
US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting.Inflation expectations and CPI readings continue to show disinflation with the last two Core CPI M/M figures coming in at 0.16%. The US PMIs missed expectations across the board...
Spain August manufacturing PMI 46.5 vs 48.8 expected
Prior 47.8That's a sharp drop in Spain's manufacturing activity with the headline reading being the lowest so far this year. Of note, new orders are showing their quickest pace of declines since November last year as subdued demand conditions are weighing further on...
ECB’s Villeroy: Our options are open at the next and upcoming rate meetings
Underlying inflation has peaked since April and appears to have begun its declineBut this encouraging sign is still far from sufficientOur options are open at the next and upcoming rate meetingsWe are very close to a peak in interest ratesBut far from a point where we...
FX option expiries for 1 September 10am New York cut
There are some big ones to watch out for on the day, as highlighted in bold.They are all for EUR/USD and will factor into price action in the aftermath of the US non-farm payrolls later today.The ones at 1.0800 and 1.0820-25 will be ones that could add to a defensive...
Switzerland August CPI +1.6% vs +1.5% y/y expected
Prior +1.6%Core CPI +1.5% y/yPrior +1.7%At best, this might see the SNB choose to raise key rates one more time later this month. I mean, core inflation is continuing to ease and that's a positive development in allowing them some wiggle room at least.MoneyMaker FX EA...
China reportedly to take more action in order to try and revive property sector
The additional measures will include relaxing home-purchase restrictions and removing price caps on new homes. It is said that these measures will be implemented in the coming weeks and that they have been under consideration over the past few months now. The sources...
GBPUSD Technical Analysis – Rangebound between key levels
US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged.Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table.Inflation expectations and CPI readings continue to show disinflation with the last two Core CPI M/M figures...
UK August Nationwide house prices -0.8% vs -0.2% m/m prior
Prior -0.2%The average house price in the UK declines further as higher rates are continuing to weigh on housing market sentiment. The annual reading now reflects a 5.3% year-on-year drop in house prices and the falling trend is likely to stay the course as the BOE...
It is non-farm payrolls day to kick start the new month
With the focus being on the non-farm payrolls, we are likely to be in for a quiet and more tentative session in Europe later. Major currencies are mostly little changed so far on the day and barring any major headline surprises, there might not be much appetite to...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: China cut its FX RRR by a third
China announced a cut in its FX Reserve Requirement Ratio by 200 basis points (bps) from 6% to 4% from September 15th. What this means is that China reduced the amount of foreign currency deposits banks are required to hold as reserves. It last did so in September of...
Goldman Sachs estimate +149K for US non-farm payrolls
Goldman Sachs forecasts for the US jobs market data due Friday, 1 September 2023:We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose by 149k in Augustour forecast embeds a 26k one-time drag from thee combination of Hollywood worker strikes (-18k) and Yellow trucking layoffs (-8k)We...