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Which is the BOJ signal and which is the noise?

Which is the BOJ signal and which is the noise?

USD/JPY is at a fresh low for the day, down 127 pips to 138.95 as longs clear out ahead of the Bank of Japan decision later. Doubling the pain was an earlier rally in USD/JPY due to broad USD strength following strong GDP and initial jobless claims.At this point, both...

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There won’t be a Trump indictment today

There won’t be a Trump indictment today

Trump arrested (AI image)Earlier there were reports that a Trump indictment for the Jan 6 events could come as soon as today. A court spokesman now says there won't be any indictments today.Supposedly the charges would be: conspiracy to commit offense or to defraud...

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Three reasons why markets turned around today

Three reasons why markets turned around today

US 10-year yields are back above 4%, rising 16 basis points today. That is the best instrument to tell the story of why US stocks started red hot and have quickly cooled. It's the combination of several things, starting with (1) strong US data today, including a great...

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Risk assets slump after BOJ report signals a change

Risk assets slump after BOJ report signals a change

US equities have fallen into negative territory in a sharp reversal. There were some signs of profit-taking earlier but the heaviest selling came after a Nikkei report saying that today the Bank of Japan will discuss removing yield-curve control in what would be a...

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WTI crude futures settle at $80.09

WTI crude futures settle at $80.09

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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BOJ will discuss tweaking yield curve control – report

BOJ will discuss tweaking yield curve control – report

Will discuss letting long-term rates rise above 0.50% limit "by a certain degree"Under the more flexible policy being considered, the BOJ would permit gradual increases above the 0.5% threshold, but still clamp down on any sudden spikeThe proposed change would keep...

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European close: Dovish ECB sparks a big rally

European close: Dovish ECB sparks a big rally

The ECB appears to have gotten the message that the economy is slowing and has now pledged data dependency towards hiking in September and/or beyond. Market pricing puts Sept hike odds at 38%.European equities like what they heard. Closing changes today:Stoxx 600...

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Trump indictment for Jan 6 could come as soon as today

Trump indictment for Jan 6 could come as soon as today

As Ron DeSantis' presidential campaign flounders, the likelihood of a presidential re-match grows but it will be a complicated one as Biden ages and Trump faces legal jeopardy -- including a trial set for next May on classified documents.The next round of charges...

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US June pending home sales +0.3% vs -0.5% expected

US June pending home sales +0.3% vs -0.5% expected

US pending home salesPrior was -2.7%Index 76.8 vs 76.5 priorThis is a decent forward-looking indicator and a nice rebound after a poor number in May. I think it's clear that there are people who want to buy homes, it's just that inventories of homes for sale are very...

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