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UK August final manufacturing PMI 43.0 vs 42.5 prelim

UK August final manufacturing PMI 43.0 vs 42.5 prelim

Prior 45.3The headline reading is a 39-month low as UK manufacturing activity takes a big hit in August. Factory orders are seen tumbling in the face of higher rates with demand also being hit by weaker domestic and export conditions. S&P Global notes that:“August...

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Reminder: It is a US holiday on Monday

Reminder: It is a US holiday on Monday

It's the start of a new month and we also have the US jobs report to contend with. So, when you throw in perhaps some positioning flows -or lack thereof - before an extended weekend, that might make things tricky to decipher later in the day. Anyway, I would lean...

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Italy Q2 final GDP -0.4% vs -0.3% q/q prelim

Italy Q2 final GDP -0.4% vs -0.3% q/q prelim

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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Germany August final manufacturing PMI 39.1 vs 39.1 prelim

Germany August final manufacturing PMI 39.1 vs 39.1 prelim

Prior 38.8No change to the initial estimate as Germany's manufacturing sector remains in a deep recession, with output falling at its fastest pace since May 2020. Subdued demand conditions continue to be the root cause of the problems here but at least there is some...

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France August final manufacturing PMI 46.0 vs 46.4 prelim

France August final manufacturing PMI 46.0 vs 46.4 prelim

Prior 45.1It's a slight revision lower but at least the reading is better than July. That said, it still points to a contraction in France's manufacturing sector as new orders declined at an accelerated pace in August. HCOB notes that:“France's manufacturing sector...

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Italy August manufacturing PMI 45.4 vs 46.0 expected

Italy August manufacturing PMI 45.4 vs 46.0 expected

Prior 44.5Italy's manufacturing sector stays in a downturn in August with production and new orders continuing to fall sharply on the month. The added negative development is that job losses were signalled for the first time since August 2020. HCOB notes that:“The...

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Switzerland August manufacturing PMI 39.9 vs 40.0 expected

Switzerland August manufacturing PMI 39.9 vs 40.0 expected

Prior 38.5That's a slight improvement in Swiss manufacturing activity but it still points to a rather strong contraction after the plunge in July. Output continues to show further signs of falling but the good news at least is that inflationary pressures have eased...

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USDJPY Technical Analysis – Signs of a top are emerging

USDJPY Technical Analysis – Signs of a top are emerging

US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting.Inflation expectations and CPI readings continue to show disinflation with the last two Core CPI M/M figures coming in at 0.16%. The US PMIs missed expectations across the board...

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Spain August manufacturing PMI 46.5 vs 48.8 expected

Spain August manufacturing PMI 46.5 vs 48.8 expected

Prior 47.8That's a sharp drop in Spain's manufacturing activity with the headline reading being the lowest so far this year. Of note, new orders are showing their quickest pace of declines since November last year as subdued demand conditions are weighing further on...

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FX option expiries for 1 September 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 1 September 10am New York cut

There are some big ones to watch out for on the day, as highlighted in bold.They are all for EUR/USD and will factor into price action in the aftermath of the US non-farm payrolls later today.The ones at 1.0800 and 1.0820-25 will be ones that could add to a defensive...

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Switzerland August CPI +1.6% vs +1.5% y/y expected

Switzerland August CPI +1.6% vs +1.5% y/y expected

Prior +1.6%Core CPI +1.5% y/yPrior +1.7%At best, this might see the SNB choose to raise key rates one more time later this month. I mean, core inflation is continuing to ease and that's a positive development in allowing them some wiggle room at least.MoneyMaker FX EA...

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – Rangebound between key levels

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – Rangebound between key levels

US:The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged.Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table.Inflation expectations and CPI readings continue to show disinflation with the last two Core CPI M/M figures...

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UK August Nationwide house prices -0.8% vs -0.2% m/m prior

UK August Nationwide house prices -0.8% vs -0.2% m/m prior

Prior -0.2%The average house price in the UK declines further as higher rates are continuing to weigh on housing market sentiment. The annual reading now reflects a 5.3% year-on-year drop in house prices and the falling trend is likely to stay the course as the BOE...

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It is non-farm payrolls day to kick start the new month

It is non-farm payrolls day to kick start the new month

With the focus being on the non-farm payrolls, we are likely to be in for a quiet and more tentative session in Europe later. Major currencies are mostly little changed so far on the day and barring any major headline surprises, there might not be much appetite to...

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Goldman Sachs estimate +149K for US non-farm payrolls

Goldman Sachs estimate +149K for US non-farm payrolls

Goldman Sachs forecasts for the US jobs market data due Friday, 1 September 2023:We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose by 149k in Augustour forecast embeds a 26k one-time drag from thee combination of Hollywood worker strikes (-18k) and Yellow trucking layoffs (-8k)We...

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