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The Fed and ECB have more in common than you would think

The Fed and ECB have more in common than you would think

The Fed delivered a 25 bps this week and left the door open for a September move but they were not too pushy about it. There was no explicit guidance to suggest that such a move is a given and they maintained that any move after the summer will be highly dependent on...

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Market Update – July 27 – ECB Day!

There were no surprises from the FOMC. As universally expected, the Fed increased the funds rate 25 bps to a 5.25% to 5.50% band. This is the highest since early 2001. Wall Street was mixed all session. The US30 was up for a 13th consecutive session, the best streak...

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Dollar stays in retreat mode so far on the session

Dollar stays in retreat mode so far on the session

We are seeing the ranges for the day stretch out a bit, with the dollar losing further ground. EUR/USD is up 0.4% to 1.1130 while GBP/USD is up 0.3% to 1.2980 currently. USD/JPY itself continues to be volatile and swingy but is keeping just slightly lower near the...

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Equities pull higher in European morning trade

Equities pull higher in European morning trade

In Europe, the IBEX is up 0.6% to its highest since February 2020 while the FTSE MIB is up 0.9% to its highest since September 2008. US futures are also seeing solid gains on the day now with S&P 500 futures inching up by 25 points, or 0.5%, currently:Tech shares...

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ECB meeting: a tough Balancing Act

“Firms’ net demand for loans fell strongly in the second quarter of 2023, dropping to an all-time low since the start of the survey in 2003“: this is what the ECB stated in its last quarterly survey of 158 banks just few days ago. This is a key input...

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S&P 500 Technical Analysis – Key resistance in sight

S&P 500 Technical Analysis – Key resistance in sight

Yesterday, the Fed hiked the interest rates by 25 bps as widely expected and left the policy statement basically unchanged. The market was more focused on the Fed Chair Powell’s press conference for signals on the future moves. Unfortunately, Powell didn’t offer...

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European equities look to bounce back in the new day

European equities look to bounce back in the new day

Eurostoxx +0.5%Germany DAX +0.1%France CAC 40 +0.6%UK FTSE +0.1%Spain IBEX +0.5%French stocks were the laggard yesterday amid a slump in luxury stocks but are hoping to recover some poise today. Tech shares are leading the way, as seen with Nasdaq futures being up...

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FX option expiries for 27 July 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 27 July 10am New York cut

There is one to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold.That being an extremely large set of expiries for EUR/USD at 1.1100-05, which is likely to act as a magnet and limit any upside price action in the session ahead before we get to the ECB policy decision...

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PayRetailers Continues to Take the Lead at Global Events

PayRetailers Continues to Take the Lead at Global Events

During the first semester of 2023, PayRetailers participated in significant events in the global Fintech and financial services industry, establishing new business connections that enable merchants from diverse industries to operate seamlessly and securely in Latin...

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Trade ideas thread – European session 27 July 2023

Trade ideas thread – European session 27 July 2023

The dollar is now on the backfoot again but it's not as bad as it looks. At least not compared to when we saw the rout two weeks ago. EUR/USD is still down 0.3% on the week and I reckon that there is scope for the euro to soften, especially if the ECB doesn't deliver...

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Dollar bruised after the Fed policy decision overnight

Dollar bruised after the Fed policy decision overnight

To keep things short, they tried to leave the door open for September but as evident in the language and from Powell's press conference, they are not going to push for it. I'd put emphasis on the word 'tried' in the description above. Powell himself alluded to data...

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