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The WSJ Timiraos, is tweeting an interview he gave at Fox Business, and says:The Fed will likely announce a 25 basis point hike at 2 PM ET, and if Timiraos is right, will continue to be cautious about prospects for inflation. Employment remains solid. Unions are going...
Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate 2.4%The Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 estimate comes in at 2.4%, unchanged from the prior model estimate. In their own words:The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2023 is 2.4...
NZDUSD traders define support and resistance targetsGenerally speaking, the NZDUSD is consolidating between the 50% retracement of the move up from the June 29 low at 0.6230, and the 61.8% retracement level of the same move higher at 0.61874.In between those...
Bespoke is out with a great chart today showing how markets have performed on Fed day under various Chairmen. Greenspan, Bernanke, Yellen and Powell all sport positive returns -- and Fed day is the single best day to hold stocks, historically -- but the shape of those...
The GBPUSD has moved to a new session high as London/European traders look to exit for the day. The price had been inching higher after an initial dip in the Asian Pacific session and found support ahead of the 50% midpoint of the move up from the June 29 below near...
The AUDUSD is lower on the day. The declines were helped by the lower-than-expected CPI data out of Australia last night. That sent the pair down to a low of 0.67287. However, that low fell just short of the rising 200-day moving average of 0.67222 (see lower green...
Bill Blair takes over as defense ministerAnita Anand goes from defense to Treasury boardSean Fraser named housing and infrastructure ministerArif Virani to be justice ministerNo changes in finance, foreign, innovation or natural resources ministriesI would call this...
Justin Trudeau set to shuffle cabinet (AI image)Canadian Prime Minister has more than 2 years before the next Federal election but his party may be growing uneasy as polls show the Conservatives making headway.That has prompted a cabinet re-shuffling to be announced...
Prior was -708KGasoline -786K vs -1678K expectedDistillates -245K vs -301K expectedRefinery utilization -0.9% vs +0.1% expectedProduction estimate mbpd 12.2 mbpd vs 12.3 mbpd priorImpld mogas demand: 8.94mbpd vs 8.86mbpd priorThe API data released late yesterday:Crude...
The GBPUSD is trading just above the 1.2900 level at 1.2907. That puts the price between the 100-hour moving average below at 1.28604, and the 200-hour moving average above at 1.29487. Those moving averages will be either more bullish or more bearish barometers for...
Prior was 763K (revised to 715K)Single family sales -2.5% vs +12.2% priorMedian sale price $415.4K vs $416.3K a year agoSupply months 7.4 vs 6.7 months priorEarlier today, the US reported June building permits at 1.441m vs 1.440m prior.This is a disappointing number...
It's Fed day so expect some extra volatility today.So far in North American trade, that's evident in the Canadian and Australian dollars, which slumped to session lows early but have rebounded strongly in the past 45 minutes. There hasn't bee a clear catalyst for the...
Alphabet shares are higher. Microsoft shares are lower after earnings last night. Both beat but traders are weary about the capital expenditure numbers for Microsoft going forward. Microsoft shares are trading down -3.85%. Google shares are up 5.43%.Hess Corp (HES) Q2...
The USDJPY is trading between its 100 and 200-hour moving averages ahead of the FOMC rate decision at 2 PM ET. The 100-hour moving average comes in at 141.12. The 200-hour moving average comes in at 139.966. The current price is trading at 140.30.Staying between the...
Xi Jinping sleeping (AI image)Commodity currencies are soft today and that's in large part due to a soft Australia CPI but risks are growing towards some disappointment in the commodity market itself after China's politboro sent mixed signals on stimulus.Officials...
The EURUSD is hanging above and below the 50% midpoint of the July trading range ahead of the important Fed decision at 2 PM ET. The Fed is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points, but it will be the expectations going forward that the market will be focused on....
It's finally Fed day but there isn't much drama around the decision. Market pricing is 97.2% for a hike, so it's largely a done deal for the 2 pm decision.What will matter is what comes next and there's currently only a 20% chance of a hike at the subsequent meeting...
Following the news of BlackRock's submission for a Bitcoin ETF on June 15th, Ethereum mirrored the surge in value of Bitcoin, rallying from the 1620 level to the 2029 high. Despite the uncertainty in the interest rates expectations and the regulatory crackdowns in...
Headlines:Markets:JPY leads, AUD lags on the dayEuropean equities lower; S&P 500 futures down 0.1%US 10-year yields down 2.5 bps to 3.886%Gold up 0.4% to $1,972.53WTI crude down 1.0% to $78.80Bitcoin down 0.1% to $29,202It was a quiet session for the most part but...
After the news of BlackRock filing a Bitcoin ETF on June 15th, we saw the cryptocurrency surging in value going briefly from the 25K level to the 31K one. Bitcoin resilience has been remarkable given the hawkish repricing in interest rates expectations and the...