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ECB’s Kazaks: The door on rate hikes cannot be closed

ECB’s Kazaks: The door on rate hikes cannot be closed

Interest rates are currently appropriate to get inflation to 2% in H2 2025 but door on rate hikes can't be closedTalks on mandatory higher reserve requirements for banks are appropriateItalian spreads no unwarrated and not worrisomeIt's a clear wait-and-see stance for...

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S&P 500 falls to unchanged on the day

S&P 500 falls to unchanged on the day

The S&P 500 is working off a three-day winning streak following the reversal on non-farm payrolls but it's in jeopardy today as the moderate early gains fade. Long-dated Treasury yields continue to be pressured though, so that could ultimately help. US 10-year...

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Japan considering extending fuel subsidies

Japan considering extending fuel subsidies

The policy mix for Japan is utterly baffling. It has tried to stoke inflation for years and it continues to with ZIRP and QE despite higher global inflation.So instead of letting customers pay the price of fuel, it brings it down with subsidies. And because it's being...

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Early US intel shows Iran leaders surprised by Hamas attack

Early US intel shows Iran leaders surprised by Hamas attack

The New York Times reports that early intelligence shows that Iranian leaders were surprised by the Hamas attack.That goes against a report on Saturday from the WSJ's Summer Said that said Iran helped plot the attack on Israel over several weeks.The level of Iran's...

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Fed’s Waller set to speak at fireside chat

Fed’s Waller set to speak at fireside chat

I'm eagerly awaiting for the Fed's Waller to weigh in on monetary policy at the moment because he's a hawk and if he signals a move to the sidelines, it would be strong confirmation. That said, I'm not sure we get anything today because the event is a 'fireside chat'...

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US stocks trading higher despite the higher PPI data

US stocks trading higher despite the higher PPI data

The major US stock indices are trading higher despite the higher PPI data released earlier today. US CPI data will be released tomorrow at 8:30 AM. Technically, the NASDAQ index is moving above its near converged 100/50 day moving averages. The 100 day moving average...

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Putin: OPEC+ deal is very likely to be extended

Putin: OPEC+ deal is very likely to be extended

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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US dollar falls despite the rise in PPI

US dollar falls despite the rise in PPI

The price action after today's PPI report might be a preview of what's to come ahead of Thursday's highly-anticipated CPI report.The market is showing that worries about inflation have faded. The latest bump in PPI was energy-driven but since the start of October, oil...

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Canada August building permits 3.4% vs 0.5% expected

Canada August building permits 3.4% vs 0.5% expected

Prior was -1.5% (revised to -3.8%)This is a good report but not nearly as good as it looks before the revision. Canadian developers are still working through a deep pipeline but there's a big shakeout in the Canadian mortgage and housing markets right now that will...

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US September PPI +2.2% vs +1.6% expected

US September PPI +2.2% vs +1.6% expected

US Core PPI YoYPrior was +1.6% (revised to +2.0%)Prices +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expectedEx food/energy +2.7% y/y vs +2.3% expectedEx food/energy +0.2% vs +0.3% prior (revised to +0.2%)The US dollar rose around 20 pips on the headlines but has quickly retraced. Similarly,...

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US PPI coming up next

US PPI coming up next

US Core PPI YoYPPI isn't always a market mover but inflation fears are back in the air with the recent rise in bond yields so today could be an exception. PPI is expected up 0.3% m/m and 1.6% y/y.At the same time, Canadian building permits for August will be...

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