High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
How does the United States export inflation?
We have all heard of exporting energy resources and human capital (basically, migration), but what about exporting something intangible like inflation?How is it possible that, in addition to goods and services, the United States has caused price increases in other...
Goldman Sachs have ECB rate cuts from Q3 2024 as their ‘base case’
The European Central Bank decision and presser, ICYMI:Via Goldman Sachs note in response to the ECB on Thursday:says ECB rate cycle is complete and expect rate cuts from the Bank to begin in Q3 of 2024add that if three is a sharp economic slow down, or a bigger than...
Another horrible day as selling continues across the board. Earnings for Amazon, Intel.
The major stock indices are down once again with the NASDAQ index leading the way once again. Yesterday the NASDAQ index fell -2.43%. The NASDAQ today fell -1.76%A snapshot of the close shows:Dow industrial average fell -251.63 points or -0.76% at 32784.29S&P...
Economic calendar in Asia for Friday, 27 October 2023: Japanese inflation data
Tokyo inflation data is due for the October month, so its very timely.National-level CPI data for October will follow in about three weeks, it takes longer to gather and collate the national data.Tokyo CPI is a sub-index of the national CPIIt measures the change in...
Trade ideas thread – Friday, 27 October 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
UAW makes a new proposal to GM
The UAW is making a new proposal to General Motors as both sides bargain to end the 40+ day strike.GM is said to be preparing a counteroffer to be proposed on Thursday or Friday. The union's offer is similar to the tentative deal that was reach with the Ford...
Byron Wien has died, here is his final list of 10 surprises
I always looked forward to the annual list of '10 surprises' from Blackrock's Byron Wien and I'm saddened to learn that he died today at 90 years old.Wien finished his career as a vice chairman of Blackstone's Private Wealth Solutions but before that was a strategist...
WTI crude oil futures settle at $83.21
Crude oil continues to stall against the swing areaThe price of WTI crude futures are settling at $83.21. That is down $-2.18 or -2.55% on the day. Lower stocks are starting to weigh more on crude oil from a potential decline in demand as expectations for consumers...
What does the price action in the EURUSD tell us about what’s ahead?
The EURUSD is lower and in the process moved through a technical support level in the Asian session between 1.05617 and 1.05645. The subsequent fall took the price to another target area between 1.0522 and 1.0531. Support buyers came in against that area on 3 separate...
Yellen: We have what looks like a soft landing
AI image4.9% GDP growth today is certainly going to be a high-water mark for the next couple years but whether it's a soft landing or not will depend on how hard high rates bite next year.Investments in green energy and chips will create jobsWe see good strong...
US treasury auctions off $38 billion a 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.908%
High yield: 4.908%WI level at the time of the auction: 4.91%Tail: -0.2 bps (previous: 0.3bps, six-auction average: -0.2bps)Bid-to-Cover: 2.7x (previous: 2.47x, six-auction average: 2.73x)Dealers (they take the leftovers from the domestic and international investors):...
ALERT: US 7 year note auction at the top of the hour
The US treasury will auction off $38 billion of 7 your notes at the top of the hour. The summary of the major components and their 6 month averages are outlined below:Tail: bps (previous: 0.3bps, six-auction average: -0.2bps)Bid-to-Cover: x (previous: 2.47x,...
Nasdaq now down 2%
The NASDAQ index is now down over 2% as selling is starting to pile on. The high flyers are fairing even worse.Nvidia -4.10%Meta -5.04%Apple -2.95%Alphabet, -2.88%Microsoft -3.95%Tesla -3.32%Amazon -2.32%Ouch.Individual stock technicals are also being breached:Apple...
US stocks extend their slide. The S&P is now down -1%
The major US stock indices continued their slide.S&P index is now down -1.03% at 4143.68. It fell below its 200 day moving average earlier this week at 4239.53, and below its 38.2% retracement of the move up from the October 2022 low at 4180.95 todayNASDAQ index...
ECB sources: policymakers agreed to debate PEPP reinvestment end date
> ECB sources: policymakers agreed to debate PEPP reinvestment end date ECB kept rates unchanged today <!--> --> <!--> ECB sources:Agreed to debate PEPP reinvestment end date this winter, and minimum reserves as part of the framework review.ECB...
European indices close lower led by the German DAX
Major European indices are closing lower on the day. The declines are led by the German DAX which fell -1.08%.. The decline today sent the index lower for the week with one day left.A snapshot of the closing levels shows:German DAX, -1.08%. For the trading week, the...
Iran Foreign Minister: US/Iran does not want expansion of Israelite – Hamas war
The Iran foreign minister:Says to the US, that Iran does not want expansion of Israel-Hamas war.If the genocide in Gaza continues, the US will not be spared from "this fire"Hamas is ready to release civilian prisoners, the world should support release of 6000...
Two for one: A technical look at the AUDUSD and NZDUSD.
Both the AUDUSD and NZDUSD have been trading similarly over the last two trading days. Yesterday, the AUDUSD led the way with a rise early in the Asian session after stronger-than-expected CPI data. Buyers then turn to sellers and pushed lower and lower into the...
BBC: Hamas considering leaving Gaza for Lebanon, Turkey, or elsewhere..
BBC Mark Urban is tweeting that Hamas is considering leaving Gaza for refuge in Lebanon, Turkey or elsewhere. Will Hamas leave Gaza?It is somewhat like shuffling the spaghetti around the plate (once a terrorist organization was a terrorist organization), However, it...