US 10-year yields are now 0.1 basis points higher on the day at 4.55%. Earlier, they had fallen as low as 4.48% but have now turned around, despite the pain in equity markets.US 10y yields dailyThese moves in bonds are deeply troubling.What I (and many) expected...
Dallas Fed services outlook -8.6 vs -2.7 prior
> Dallas Fed services outlook -8.6 vs -2.7 prior Dallas Fed survey of Texas services <!--> Adam Button Tuesday, 26/09/2023 | 14:31 GMT-0 26/09/2023 | 14:31 GMT-0 --> <!--> Prior was -2.7Revenue index +8.7 vs +16.2 prior ADVERTISEMENT - CONTINUE...
The AUDUSD technical story remains the same, with a negative tilt.
The AUDUSD technical story remains largely the same. The pay remains within its up-and-down trading range (see red box on the chart below) with a short-term negative bias. The negative technical bias comes because the price is below the 100 and 200 bar moving averages...
Fed’s Kashkari sees a 40% chance of further rate hikes, perhaps ‘significantly’
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US August new home sales 675K vs 700K expected
US new home salesPrior was 714K (revised to 739K)Sales down 8.7% m/mPrior sales +4.4% (revised to +8.0%)US home sales have been recovering for months but the recent jump in interest rates is a big problem that should bite hard in September and October (if it...
Richmond Fed composite manufacturing index for September 5.0 versus -7.0 last month
Richmond Fed mfg index breaks a string of 17 declinesPrior month -7.0Richmond Fed composite manufacturing index 5.0 versus -7 last month. The gain breaks a string of 17 consecutive declines.Services index 4 verses 4 last monthShipments 7 versus -5 last monthEmployment...
US September consumer confidence 103.0 vs 105.5 expected
> US September consumer confidence 103.0 vs 105.5 expected US consumer confidence from the Conference Board <!--> Adam Button Tuesday, 26/09/2023 | 14:00 GMT-0 26/09/2023 | 14:00 GMT-0 --> <!--> Prior was 106.1Details:Present situation index 147.1 vs...
Italy to cut GDP target this year and next
GDP forecast to +0.8% from 1.4%, according to Reuters citing sources familiar2024 to be lowered to 1.0% from 1.5%There was a brief moment this year when Italian GDP was defying forecasts but it looks like that chapter has closed. If there's any good news is that the...
US stocks open lower with the NASDAQ index leading the way
The major US stock indices are raising their gains from yesterday when the Dow rose 43.04 points, the S&P rose 17.40 points and the NASDAQ and dextrose 59.51 points. Today, the snapshot of the market 6 minutes into the open is showing:Dow Industrial Average down...
Buyers are making a play in the USDCAD today. Price moves above 38.2% retracement.
The USDCAD buyers are making a play with a move above the 38.2% retracement of move down from the September high at 1.34987. The price is also trying to extend above a swing area between 1.3488 and 1.35024. Getting and stay above that area would have traders looking...
US equity futures point to a bleak open
Treasury yields are starting to tick higher but are still down on the day. Today's dump in stocks looks more like a delayed reaction to the rout in bonds yesterday combined with uneven flows as we head towards quarter end.In any case, S&P 500 futures are down 30.0...
US July CaseShiller 20-city house price index +0.9% m/m vs +0.7% expected
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
FHFA US July home prices +0.8% vs +0.3% prior
Data from the FHFA:Prices m/m +0.8% vs +0.3% prior (revised to +0.4%)Prices y/y +4.6% vs +3.1% prior (revised to +3.2%)Note that these numbers are from July, before the latest jump in interest rates. We're still waiting on the similar data set from CaseShiller, which...
Kickstart your FX trading on September 26 w/ a technical look at EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD
To kickstart your trading day in the Forex, I take a look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD from a technical perspective:For the EURUSD, it moved to a new low going back to March in trading today and extended to a low price of 1.05692 before rebounding back higher. The...
Philly Fed September non-manufacturing index -16.6 vs -13.1 prior
Prior was -13.1Firm-level business activity -5.5 vs -0.5 priorNew orders -9.2 vs -16.0 priorFull-time employment +6.4 vs +8.1 priorWage and benefit cost index 40.3 vs 33.7 priorThis is a mixed bag with the headline worsening but new orders improving.MoneyMaker FX EA...
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Pound Collapses Below 1.22
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The US economic calendar picks up today
US Consumer ConfidenceThe US economic calendar heats up today and it may be the last busy day for awhile with the potential of a US government shutdown on October 1. That would stall the publication of federal statistics.As for today, we get the Philly Fed...
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ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar steady, yields stay in focus
Headlines:Markets:EUR leads, AUD lags on the dayEuropean equities lower; S&P 500 futures down 0.4%US 10-year yields down 4.3 bps to 4.498%Gold down 0.2% to $1,910.67WTI crude down 0.9% to $88.90Bitcoin down 0.2% to $26,229It was a quiet session for the most part,...
USDJPY Technical Analysis – Approaching key levels
US:The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher as the economy showed much stronger resilience than expected and the Dot Plot showed that the majority of members still expects another rate hike by the end of the...