Link is here to the piece (may be gated).Some of the points made:Recent comments by Bank of Japan and government officials are stirring expectations the Japanese economy is finally nearing a turning point where it can declare victory over deflation and the central...
Japan chief cabinet secretary Matsuno verbal yen intervention crossing the newswires
Matsuno's remarks come after a big surge for USD/JPY following a hawkish hold from the FOMC on Wednesday. Important for FX to move stably reflecting the fundamentals Will respond appropriately to FX moves if necessary Won't rule out any options for response to FX...
China financial media front page opinion piece – PBOC might cut its RRR in Q4
China Securities Times citing analysts in the article. We've been hearing over and over about this cut being ahead. Given the steady drip of stimulus measures I guess it'll come. Nailing a likely date is very difficult given the lack of transparency at the People's...
Bank of England preview – headline inflation lowest in 18 months makes rate hike 50/50
I posted earlier on the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee decision coming up today, with JP Morgan saying a rate hike is a coin toss:Bank of Montreal with a similar take:UK CPI caught our attention as it shored an unexpected deceleration in headline inflation...
ANZ analysts says China is showing ‘early signs’ of economic stabilization
An economist at ANZ says that while China is showing 'early signs' of economic stabilization it's still too early to tell if the economy will secure a full recovery by the end of the year.in terms of economic momentum we are seeing some early signs of some sort of...
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate for today at 7.1730 (vs. estimate at 7.3052)
The People's Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead.USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate.CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading...
The US dollar index has hit its highest since early in March
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
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LNG: Australia industrial arbitrator says Chevron, Unions close to achieving agreements
Australia industrial arbitrator says: Chevron, Unions are on the precipice of achieving historical first enterprise agreements for LNG facilities Discussions have resulted in widespread agreement on the majority of provisions of the proposed enterprise agreements A...
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.3052 – Reuters estimate
People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...
JP Morgan on FOMC – Even with more hawkish dots, still comfortable thinking hiking is over
The JP Morgan on Wednesday FOMC and Federal Reserve Chair Powell's press conference:FOMC went beyond just leaning into the soft-landing narrative—they are now forecasting only a trivial weakening in growth and labor markets next year and beyond. Given this very rosy...
Lower than expected UK CPI data, Bank of England policy decision today now close to 50/50
UK inflation data came in below the median estimate on Wednesday:Goldman Sachs had been forecasting a rate hike from the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee but changed that to now expecting an on-hold decision. JP Morgan say: "We stick with our call for a hike, but now...
Australian LNG strikes – still no agreement between Chevron and Unions
Mediated talks between Chevron and Unions over disputes that have disrupted operations across 3 LNG sites in Western Australia:Wheatstone offshore gas platformGorgon and Wheatstone LNG plants have ended with no deal.The next step will be taken today, with the opposing...
New Zealand Q2 GDP rises more strongly than expected
The better-than-expected data has given NZD/USD a bit of a blip higher.Stats NZ:“Business services was the biggest driver of economic growth this quarter, largely due to computer system design,” Several other industries also contributed to the growth this quarter,...
Japan’s PM Kishida says economic package will include measures to counter inflation
Japanese PM Kishida is currently in New York, speaking from there. He says he'll be having folks put together the 'pillars' of an economic package from early next week: Says nothing decided on potential summit with China Says Japan's economy is currently still not...
Former RBA Governor says changes to be made at the Bank are a disaster, “very bad policy”
Well-respected former Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Ian Macfarlane is very concerned about the changes being made at the Bank in response to the 'review'. The proposed move to establish a separate body within the Reserve Bank to make interest rates decisions in...
TD sees a US government shutdown as inevitable: when, not if
TD says that the question of a US government shutdown appears to be ‘when’ rather than ‘if’ at this stage.If legislation on the House floor does not make ample headway by the end of the week, the most likely scenario will be a temporary shutdown. Even if Congress...
Vanguard says the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) may need to hike rates 3 more times
Vanguard manages circa USD8.1 tln in mutual funds.Prior to this week's FOMC meeting its chief global economist and head of the Vanguard Investment Strategy Group said the Fed may need to continue hiking interest rates, one to three more times.cited a substantially...
At least 2 US analysts have raised their S&P 500 forecast to 4600. Don’t worry, be happy.
Wells Fargo lifted its S&P 500 target to 4,60, citing:FOMCseasonalitybut did warn that defensives are signalling a 'yellow flag'Bank of America headline their note with 'Don't worry, be happy":raise their S&P 500 2023 year-end target to 4600 from 4300...
Goldman Sachs has raised its Brent oil forecast to US$100
Goldman Sachs has hiked its 12 month forecast for Brent crude from its previous $93 to $100.says that "most of the rally behind us""We believe that OPEC will be able to sustain Brent in an $80-to-$105 range in 2024 by leveraging robust Asia-centric global demand...