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The UK Times (gated) with the report saying Israeli PM Netanyahu has won private backing from President Biden to press ahead with a ground invasion of GazaOn a visit to Israel, Biden told Netanyahu he remained “fully in support” of Israel’s plans.The Times cites...
The surging yields continue to pressure markets. The 2-year yield is trading at 5.223%. That's the high yield since June 2006 when the yield peaked at 5.283% The 10-year yield is trading at 4.911% 6.4 basis points. That is the highest level since July 2007. The high...
Is the market closed for the week?Good, let's drop this clanger. That probably wasn't the conversation inside the Fed, but still ... Friday 20 October at 4pm US Eastern time, c'mon guyz (2000 GMT)ps. Federal Reserve Chair Powell is speaking Thursday, 19 October 2023...
Y'all finished trashing stock or what?OK, here's the data agenda for the day here in Asia - the Australian labour market report is the focus. Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock spoke yesterday, sounding a hawkish tone:The labour market has been solid, if it...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The US equity market has been carried by a handful of megacap tech stocks this year but they're starting to show some cracks. Tesla announced poor delivery numbers at the start of October and the market is worried about higher interest rates.Today, the Nasdaq is down...
As anxiety in the markets rise going into the last few hours of trading, what has the move higher US yields, the decline in stocks, the rise in oil, and the concerns about Israel, leadership in Washington, and the Fed Chair Powell speech tomorrow done to the price...
Black Monday historical photoI would file this one under 'trivia' rather than 'tradeable' but since 1950, the single-worst day for owning stocks is October 19. The average decline over those 72 years is -0.51%, according Carson Investment Research.Why?When you look at...
After settling for TWO successive days at the same level, the price of WTI crude oil is settling today at $87.27. That's up $1.83 on the day. The high price extended to $89.88. The low price reached $87.20. On Wednesday, oil prices initially surged to their highest...
US dollar index dailySynopsis: Credit Agricole highlights an intriguing divergence between the recent rally in US rates and yields and the simultaneous underperformance of the USD. Despite US 2-year rates reaching their highest since 2006 and 10-year yields nearing...
QUESTION: Can you summarize and bucket the trends in employment by each district. What are similarities. Be specific when there is a consensusBoston:Slight expansion in both business activity and employment.Relatively subdued hiring plans.Modest wage growth and price...
Beige Book Consumer spending was mixedTourism activity continued to improve Consumer credit quality was generally described as stable or healthyReal estate conditions were little changed and the inventory of homes for sale remained lowManufacturing activity was mixed,...
I'm usually one to shrug off something like the Beige Book but yesterday Barkin was talking about anecdotal reports not lining up with hard data. I wonder if he's an outlier in that or if many Fed districts are hearing real signs of a slowdown.The report is due at the...
SPX 1 minute chartThe market is starting to conclude that a 1.2 bps stop through after a one-way 25 bps move since in the start of the week isn't exactly a sign of a peak in yields.Meanwhile, Mortgage News Daily reports that its index of 30-year fixed mortgages hit 8%...
Jim Jordan's bid for Speaker of the House took a further hit today, perhaps a devastating one as he lost support in the second round of voting. He can only afford to lose 4 Republican votes but he missed by 22, which is worse than 20 yesterday.Despite that, he said...
The bond market showed some life today with stronger-than-anticipated demand at a $13 billion, 20-year sale.The result came after a big concession today but it's the first sign of buying interest in bonds since the initial Gaza attacks. As a result, the US dollar has...
> Fed's Bowman: Inflation has come down but is still too high Comments at a Fed Listens event <!--> --> <!--> Fed's BowmanWhat has been somewhat surprising, however, is that the relative strength in goods spending has persisted, rather than reverting...
US 20s, dailyPrior was 4.592%Bid to cover 2.259 vs 2.74 priorA 1.2 bps stop through is a welcome surprise after days of puking in the bond market. Twentys are trading at 5.23% afterwards. Perhaps it's not a huge surprise with 20s yielding significantly more than 10s...
Things haven't been going well for the US Treasury Dept lately.Last week's three auctions all tailed and today, on-the-run 20s have risen 7.9 bps to a cycle high of 5.25% ahead of the sale. The November refunding announcement is expected to bring even larger auction...
> Reuters poll: 90 of 111 economists see no change in Fed funds rate in November ...but does not see cut until later in 2024 <!--> --> <!--> 90 out of 111 economists in Reuters poll expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to maintain the Fed funds rate...