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Prior +1.1%Market index 206.9 vs 210.7 priorPurchase index 159.2 vs 163.2 priorRefinance index 444.5 vs 446.4 prior30-year mortgage rate 6.87% vs 6.87% priorMortgage applications fell in the past week with both purchases and refinancing activity showing declines. The...
This is looking like positioning flows ahead of the Fed and BOJ, more than anything else if you ask me. There was a bit of a pop yesterday as well amid light trading to 141.70 before a quick retreat to 141.20 again. That is now followed by a further decline to a low...
The weakness in the global manufacturing sector and especially in the Chinese economy have been weighing a lot on Copper prices. We had a good rally after the Chinese inflation data raised the risks of deflation in China and the market expected more easing measures...
The day before the all-but-done 25 bp Fed rate, Wall Street rallied, Treasuries slumped, and the USDIndex was little changed. Uncertainty over the FOMC’s policy path through the rest of the year limited activity, however, amid position jockeying. Concurrently,...
The OPEC+ production cuts and the expectations of more economic stimulus in China following the dismal inflation numbers, gave Crude Oil enough strength to break above the key resistance zone around the $75 level. After a brief rally, the price stalled and reversed as...
Prior +1.4%Broad money growth in the euro area is shrinking faster than expected and this just adds to more concerns surrounding a credit crunch impacting the economy. As the ECB seeks to tighten further, this is definitely a risk that they have to consider in the...
Prior -30.8Swiss investor sentiment declined further in July, as sentiment is pointing to a further downturn in the economy. Switzerland's main trading partners i.e. US and Eurozone are also seeing their prospects more muted and that is leading to a a decline in...
Most dollar pairs are seeing light changes so far today and the greenback itself is seeing some mixed tones, as markets are keeping rather tentative awaiting the FOMC meeting decision. USD/JPY did move slightly lower from its highs in Asia, down from around 141.00 to...
The BoE surprised with a 50 bps rate hike at the last meeting given the hot employment and inflation reports. At the next meeting, the BoE was expected to hike by 50 bps again due to another beat in the wages data but expectations changed in favour of a 25 bps...
BOJ to maintain accommodative monetary policy environment for firmsYen exchange rate against dollar slightly volatile partly due to interest rate differentialsThere is a bit of a dip in USD/JPY but they don't really seem to be tied to these comments, which are just...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Bitcoin, BTC/USD, Ethereum, ETH/USD - Outlook:The upward pressure in Bitcoin appears to be fading in the very short term.ETH/USD continues to hold above a crucial support.What is the outlook and what are the key levels to watch in BTC/USD and ETH/USD? Recommended by...
The miss in the US CPI saw the US Dollar being sold off hard across the board as the market expected the end of the rate hike cycle after the July meeting. The US data though kept on surprising to the upside and this has led the market to have a rethink. In fact, we...
The overall assessment on the economy was maintained as "recovering moderately" with consumption, capital expenditure and exports remaining firm. But the government now says that the assessment on current business conditions is "picking up", an improved view for the...
That is now one of Australia's "big four" banks making a revision to their earlier call, in which they expected a 25 bps rate hike by the RBA next week. I reckon we might see more firms make a similar call to NAB here but it is rather borderline at the moment. In...
There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold.They are both being for EUR/USD at 1.1025 and 1.1070-75. There might not be much technical significance to those levels but given recent price action and the fact that we have to wait on the FOMC...
On Tuesday the European Central Bank released its latest Bank Lending Survey. Deutsche Bank says its been keeping a close eye on lending standards for evidence of monetary policy lags. On the latest report:On the downside, the BLS showed the sharpest decline in demand...
<!--> --> Eamonn Sheridan Wednesday, 26/07/2023 | 03:10 GMT-0 26/07/2023 | 03:10 GMT-0 <!--> --> Australian Treasurer Chalmers speaking after the CPI data published earlier today:AUD - decline in inflation should be enough to keep the RBA on hold at...
The Australian dollar was a mover on the session, marked lower after inflation data for Q2 2023 was released. The headline and one of the core measures (trimmed mean)came in lower than expected, and the annualised rate for the past six months to 2.6% were all positive...
Bloomberg convey the info in a note from JP Morgan on FOMC scenarios:An interest-rate hike plus statements suggesting policymakers will hold off at their next meeting could push the S&P 500 as much as 0.75% higherassigns a 65% probability for the central bank to...