North Korea state media, Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) with the report:The Political Bureau of the party's Central Committee called on "the national defense field to consistently adhere to the orientation of developing nuclear weapons and the line of bolstering up...
FX option expiries for Monday, 19 June 2023, at the 10am New York cut
FX option expiries for Monday, 19 June 2023, at the 10am New York cut EUR/USD 1.0900 EUR887.9mn 1.0840 EUR793.4mnUSD/CNY 7.1100 USD400mnUSD/CAD 1.3458 USD350mnNZD/USD 0.6280 NZD379mn---For more information on how to use this data, you may refer to this post...
Asia Day Ahead: Wall Street Rally Pauses Ahead of Series of Fedspeak
Recommended by IG Traits of Successful Traders Get My Guide With the conclusion of the recent Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, a series of hawkish Fedspeak is lined up on the horizon. We have a glimpse from Fed Governor Christopher Waller and Richmond Fed...
China’s Foreign Minister Qin Gang & US Secretary of State Antony Blinken met on weekend
Talks between the two went for more than 7 hours.The various comments made after the meeting were generic 'work together' type statement devoid of meaningful content. Blinken has meetings scheduled with other officials in China, including Chinese Communist Party...
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1201 (vs. estimate at 7.1186)
People's Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead.USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate.CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading...
Iran is shipping the most crude in almost five years
A catch-up with this Bloomberg (gated) piece on Iranian oil exports:Exports have surged to the highest level since US sanctions were re-imposed in 2018vast majority is flowing to ChinaBloomberg cite various analysts:Crude oil shipments have doubled since last autumn...
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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1186 – Reuters estimate
People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...
Goldman Sachs have taken a knife to their China GDP forecasts: 5.4% for 2023 (6.0% prior)
I posted a couple of these earlier"Goldman Sachs have jumped on board: China GDP growth target for 2023 cut to 5.4%, from 6.0%2024 now targeted at 4.5%, from 4.6% previouslyGoldman Sachs argue that the stimulus seen is insufficient to fire up a powerful enough impulse...
Reminder – it’s a US holiday today – Cash stock markets, bonds closed. Globex open Sunday.
Cash stock markets, bonds and FX are closed on Monday in the US (there may be skeleton staffing at some bank desks).CME futures hours are, in summary (there are exceptions):Globex is open for a few hours on Sunday evening 18 June.Globex is then closed for Monday with...
Japan’s yen intervention guy welcomes US dropping it from monitoring list
Japan's Finance Ministry's Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Kanda. He is the guy who will instruct the BOJ to intervene, when he judges it necessary. Often referred to as Japan's 'top currency diplomat'. Welcomes US dropping Japan from its monitoring...
BoA see S&P500 top before late July central banks, downside risk bigger before Labor Day
Bank of America analysts restate their bearish view of US equities again. Say that bears like them had been wrong in H1 due to the US economy avoiding a recession and a credit crunch, and an “unanticipated event” - the the AI-powered tech rally.In a note laced with...
UK data – Rightmove House Prices for June 0.0% m/m (prior + 1.8%)
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
UBS revised down its China 2023 GDP growth forecast to 5.2%, from 5.7% previously
UBS citing the weaker data that came through for May."Q2 growth momentum is tracking much weaker than we expected earlier"UBS are seeing early data for June as weak also, saying its not obvious that there is any improvement. Policy moves out of China are expected, the...
New Zealand May Services PMI 53.3 (prior 50.1)
New Zealand Performance Services IndexRemarks from the report from:BusinessNZ chief executive Kirk Hope“The lift in expansion for May also saw a pick up in the proportion of positive comments, which rose from 39.8% in April to 50.6% for the current month. Overall,...
Goldman Sachs says US inflation will not fall as quickly as markets are currently pricing
A note from the investment bank issued on Friday. In it GS says:"Although we expect further declines in inflation going forward, markets appear considerably more optimistic than we are about the pace of cooling," says investors are not taking note of the potential for...
China’s State Council considering various macroeconomic policies to boost demand
China’s State Council met on Friday. Premier Li Qiang chaired the meeting. In a statement after, said:the Council considered a batch of macroeconomic policies designed to expand “effective demand”, strengthen the real economy and defuse risks in key areas:"it is...
ICYMI – Nomura slashes its forecast for China’s 2023 GDP growth to 5.1% from 5.5%
Nomura note issued Friday, says the firm has cut its forecast for China's 2023 GDP growth to 5.1% from 5.5%:in view of the worsening downward spiral of major activity data and Beijing's tepid response to date, we lower our GDP growth and inflation forecastsexpect...
Head of Russian oil giant Rosneft says losing out on export share to other OPEC+ countries
Igor Sechin, heads up Russian energy major Rosneft. He spoke over the weekend at an economic forum.Said that Russia only supplies half of its production to the world market, compared to several OPEC+ nations who were exporting up to 90% of their output:"That puts our...
ICYMI – Russia close to striking long-term deals to sell substantial supplies of oil
The Wall Street Journal with the piece on Friday re Russia’s state energy giant Rosneft nearing securing agreements to long-term deals to sell substantial supplies of oil. locking in export revenue. The Journal says that according to those acquainted with the sale,...