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On-the-run 3s are trading at 4.69% ahead of the 3-year note sale, which is down from a high of 4.73% earlier.Here's BMO on the auction:While a 10-year auction will always be the benchmark for evaluating primary market demand for Treasuries, today’s 3-year auction will...
You never really know where you are in the economic cycle until it's over but there's been a groundswell of economic commentary saying that the US economy is now early in a recovery.“It’s official: we’re in a recovery," says Bank of America today.Elsewhere, Goldman...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
ECB's LagardeSociete Generale anticipates that the European Central Bank (ECB) will maintain a hawkish pause in its upcoming September policy meeting. The bank expects a rate hike to be delayed until December, but still envisions the ECB maintaining its hawkish stance...
> NY Fed August one-year inflation expectations 3.6% vs 3.5% prior The August inflation survey from the NY Fed <!--> Adam Button Monday, 11/09/2023 | 15:00 GMT-0 11/09/2023 | 15:00 GMT-0 --> <!--> Survey of consumers in August puts one-year ahead...
EURUSD 1 hourThe US dollar is struggling today despite higher Treasury yields as dollar positioning is re-calibrated following the comments on the weekend from Ueda. The market isn't sure what to do ahead of a difficult ECB decision. The tone around the table is...
The risk mood is beginning to sour and an early tell was selling in bitcoin. The sales have accelerated in the past 15 minutes and bitcoin broke the recent range low of $25,269. The next level to watch is the June low of $24,750.Bitcoin dailyIn March, bitcoin briefly...
If I am wrong and inflation and economy drop more significantly, I wouldn't hesitate to cut ratesIt's a risky bet that inflation expectations are sufficiently well-anchored and we can wait for core inflation to easeWe need to prepare for a world where inflation is...
US equities are off to a strong start this week with the S&P 500 up 0.5% and the Nasdaq up 0.6%.Shares of Tesla are leading the way with a 5.5% rally after Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Tesla shares by 60% to $400, from $250, and recommended investors...
Happy Monday.The Fed blackout went into effect on Saturday but we did hear from Nick Timiraos, who wrote what everyone already knows: That a pause is coming in Sept and that some officials see risks as balanced while others are still hawkish.I wouldn't expect any of...
Headlines:Markets:AUD leads, USD lags on the dayEuropean equities higher; S&P 500 futures up 0.4%US 10-year yields up 4.6 bps to 4.302%Gold up 0.3% to $1,924.28WTI crude down 0.6% to $86.96Bitcoin down 1.1% to $25,609The major story so far today remains the surge...
It's been more than two decades but it still feels surreal to think back to the events that transpired on this day in 2001. It was a tragic day by all accounts and the world was never the same after. To those who have experienced the tragedy of it all, I continue to...
It will be Kim's first international visit in more than four years and the first since after the Covid pandemic. His last trip was also to Russia back in 2019, in a meeting with Putin after the collapse of North Korea's nuclear disarmament talks with the US (Trump was...
POUND STERLING ANALYSIS & TALKING POINTSBoE peak rate market pricing continues to fall.UK labor data & US CPI the focal points this week.1.25 tentatively holds. Recommended by Warren Venketas Get Your Free GBP Forecast Get My Guide GBPUSD FUNDAMENTAL...
Last week the US data surprised to the upside with the ISM Services PMI and Jobless Claims beating expectations by a big margin. The market didn't like the strong data as it raises the chances of another rate hike in November. In fact, the Nasdaq Composite sold off...
If you're interested in forex trading, it's crucial to learn the basics of forex liquidity. Understanding liquidity in the foreign exchange market is essential for traders to make informed decisions and navigate the market effectively. The forex market, with its vast...
The low of 145.90 came early in European morning trade and we are now roughly 80 pips above that. Despite the light recovery in the last two hours, the pair is still roughly down by 100 pips on the day but the price action is nevertheless encouraging for dip buyers....
In an interview published last weekend by the Japanese newspaper The Yomiuri Shimbun, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda touched on some interesting points that led – as soon as markets reopened Monday morning – to both a sharp appreciation of the JPY and the biggest...
Adding to that is the stronger Chinese yuan today, which is also inadvertently boosting the antipodean currencies. The aussie and kiwi are also spearheading gains on the day, as we see yen gains ease slightly on the session. But overall, the dollar is the laggard as...
Eurozone GDP growth forecast seen at 0.8% in 2023 (prev. 1.1%), 1.3% in 2024 (prev. 1.6%)Germany GDP growth forecast seen at -0.4% in 2023 (prev. 0.2%), 1.1% in 2024 (prev. 1.4%)France GDP growth forecast seen at 1.0% in 2023 (prev. 0.7%), 1.2% in 2024Italy GDP growth...