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ECB’s Lane: The key is to maintain rates at this level for as long as needed
We are data dependentWe have reached a level where rates will help to tame inflationThese are just some token remarks as he is just reaffirming that the ECB pausing is a step in the right direction in the inflation battle. Right now, it's really about how long they...
How will the dollar take another round of Japan intervention?
When USD/JPY hit 145 in September last year, it prompted Japan to step in to intervene to prop up the currency for the first time since 1998. They then stepped in again in October when the pair hit 150 and that was a key trigger point in markets that started a...
Market Update – October 3 – Risk off bites across asset classes
Starting with APAC, the RBA has just unsurprisingly kept rates steady in Governor Bullock’s inaugural meeting with the statement largely a carbon copy from the Lowe era (”inflation is coming down, the labour market remains strong and the economy is...
USDJPY Technical Analysis – Fear of an intervention limits the upside
US:The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher as the economy showed much stronger resilience than expected and the Dot Plot showed that the majority of members still expects another rate hike by the end of the...
Switzerland September CPI +1.7% vs +1.8% y/y expected
Prior +1.6%Core CPI +1.3% y/yPrior +1.5%Headline annual inflation is steadying at just under 2% but the good news for the SNB is that core annual inflation is seen easing further to 1.3% on the month. That vindicates their decision to move to the sidelines last month...
ECB’s Lane: Progress to 2% inflation won’t be as quick as to 4%
Food inflation is still quite high nowIt is still a substantial issueServices inflation now a big contributorI wouldn't really deny that as we may be stuck in a period of around 3% to 5% inflation for some time perhaps. And the outlook will not be helped if oil prices...
ECB’s Simkus: Inflation is on its way down
Rates need to stay restrictive to tame pricesPrompt monetary policy response has been effectiveI wouldn't label calling inflation as "transitory" to be a prompt monetary policy response but okay. The tough part for the ECB is if there are second-round effects, they...
EURUSD Technical Analysis – The pair remains in a strong downtrend
US:The Fed left interest rates unchanged as expected.The macroeconomic projections were revised higher as the economy showed much stronger resilience than expected and the Dot Plot showed that the majority of members still expects another rate hike by the end of the...
FX option expiries for 3 October 10am New York cut
There are a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold.The first being for EUR/USD at 1.0495 which sits near the broken barrier of 1.0500. That should help to keep any upside push more limited on the day and allow for sellers to lean on that to keep the downside...
EUR/USD at its lowest levels for the year as the dollar continues to run hot
EUR/USD daily chartTo keep things simple, let's take a look at what are the moving parts that are driving EUR/USD at the moment.First, we have the sentiment between the Fed and ECB and while both central banks are in pause mode, it all comes down to the likelihood of...
AUD/USD stays under pressure as RBA stays on the sidelines
AUD/USD daily chartThe pair is down 0.4% to 0.6340 on the day and testing the lower boundaries set out since August trading just under 0.6360 currently. Price action has been caught in a ping pong range for the most part but with the dollar also running rampant amid...
AUD/USD little changed after the RBA’s as expected unchanged cash rate announcement
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
RBA October 2023 decision – leaves cash rate unchanged – full text of Governor’s Statement
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Reserve Bank of Australia leaves its cash rate unchanged at 4.1%, as widely expected
Headlines via Reuters: Some further tightening of monetary policy may be requiredBoard remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to the targetRecent data are consistent with inflation returning to the target range over the forecast horizonHigher...
Taiwan’s Central Bank says sold USD880mn to intervene in FX market in H1 2023
Taiwan's Central Bank, the Central Bank of the Republic of China, dipping into its USD holdings to fund this. Sold net USD 880mn to intervene in FX market in H1Sold net USD 5.63bln from July 2022 to June 2023Says the operations were aimed at smoothing FX...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Awaiting the Reserve Bank of Australia
How much longer can USD/JPY hold under 150? The USD is supported by yields, economyJapan fin min Suzuki verbal yen intervention comments - will take appropriate stepsOil has dropped further in Asia time tradeFirst 3 days of China holiday, China's domestic trips +75.8%...
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How much longer can USD/JPY hold under 150? The USD is supported by yields, economy
Japan's finance minister was once again across the news wires with warnings on intervention.They sound rather hollow. The issue does not appear to be a weak yen, but a strong USD. EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY are not scaling lofty heights, suggesting the USD/JPY gains are USD...
Japan fin min Suzuki verbal yen intervention comments – will take appropriate steps
Japan finance minister Suzuki comments are not shifting USD/JPY much at all: Important for currencies to move in stable manner reflecting fundamentalsWill make appropriate steps on fx moves with high sense of urgencyJapan's price inflation is affected by weak yen...