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USDCAD Technical Analysis – Back above 1.3225

USDCAD Technical Analysis – Back above 1.3225

We keep hearing from the Fed members that two or more rate hikes this year are likely if the data remains solid. In fact, since the last FOMC meeting, the data indeed kept on surprising to the upside and led to a more hawkish repricing in interest rates expectations...

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Market Update – June 30 – Eyes on PCE

The surprisingly strong GDP revisions and the drop in jobless claims raised fears the FOMC will have to tighten rates further and boosted Treasury yields higher. The bear flattening trade boosted rates to the highest levels since March, the last time the markets...

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GBPUSD Technical Analysis – US Dollar Strength

GBPUSD Technical Analysis – US Dollar Strength

The Fed members and Fed Chair Powell keep on repeating that they expect two or more rate hikes if the data remains strong. Since the last FOMC meeting, the data kept on surprising to the upside with very strong housing market indicators, solid US Jobless Claims, US...

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European equities open slightly higher today

European equities open slightly higher today

Eurostoxx +0.1%Germany DAX +0.3%France CAC 40 +0.1%UK FTSE +0.1%Spain IBEX +0.3%This comes after the better performance by the value and heavyweight stocks yesterday, with the Dow rising and the Nasdaq slipping. For now, US futures are keeping steadier as well so that...

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France June preliminary CPI +4.5% vs +4.6% y/y expected

France June preliminary CPI +4.5% vs +4.6% y/y expected

Prior +5.1%HICP +5.3% vs +5.4% y/y expectedPrior +6.0%That's a positive development on the face of it but a lot of that still has to do with higher energy prices being phased out. If you look at the breakdown, food prices are still 13.6% higher than they were in June...

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UK Q1 final GDP +0.1% vs +0.1% q/q prelim

UK Q1 final GDP +0.1% vs +0.1% q/q prelim

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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Germany May retail sales +0.4% vs 0.0% m/m expected

Germany May retail sales +0.4% vs 0.0% m/m expected

Prior +0.8%Retail sales -3.6% vs -4.3% y/y expectedPrior -4.3%Despite the beat above, German retail sales is still rather subdued when you look into the details. In real terms, retail sales are still down 3.6% compared to the same period last year as opposed to the...

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Germany May import price index -1.4% vs -1.4% m/m expected

Germany May import price index -1.4% vs -1.4% m/m expected

Prior -1.7%Import price index -9.1% vs -9.1% y/y expectedPrior -7.0%The drop in import prices has a chunk to do with energy prices, which declined again by another 5.3% on the month. If you strip all of that out, import prices did still fall but by only 0.6% on the...

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Trade ideas thread – European session 30 June 2023

Trade ideas thread – European session 30 June 2023

It's month-end and quarter-end today and in case you need reminding, we're halfway through 2023 already. The year is really flying by just like that.Major currencies are mostly little changed today as the dollar continues to keep steadier in the big picture. USD/JPY...

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FX option expiries for 30 June 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 30 June 10am New York cut

There is just a couple to take note of, as highlighted in bold. And they are both for EUR/USD as we look towards the end of June trading.The expiries are sitting close by to one another at 1.0900 to 1.0940-45, so put together alongside the 100 and 200-hour moving...

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Euro area inflation in focus on the agenda today

Euro area inflation in focus on the agenda today

Major currencies are not much changed on the day but all eyes are on the Japanese yen, as the currency weakens to 145 against the dollar earlier in Asia trading. USD/JPY is now at 144.70 as traders are also perhaps taking profits amid fear of intervention by Japan...

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USD/JPY knocks on the door of intervention territory

USD/JPY knocks on the door of intervention territory

That set it on the path from the break of 140.00 to having touch a high of 145.07 earlier today. The 145.00 mark is where we can start to gauge intervention territory by Japanese officials, something which was pointed out here earlier this month. There has already...

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