market overview A summary of what was remarked in Jackson Hole on Friday and over the weekend <!--> Justin Low Monday, 28/08/2023 | 04:08 GMT-0 28/08/2023 | 04:08 GMT-0 --> <!--> Here's a roundup of the headlines, in case you missed the happenings from...
Reminder: It is a UK holiday today
Month-end trading will be a focus point this week but we are likely to see a fairly quieter one in European trading today, considering that UK markets are closed. With London out, there won't be much for traders to work with in the session ahead. But keep in mind that...
ICYMI – JP Morgan see limited downside for crypto markets over the near term
A report from JPM late last week says the downside shift for Bitcoin looks to be ending. JPM cite their analysis of open interest in Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s (CME) bitcoin (BTC) futures: shows the unwinding of long positions appears to be in its end phase rather...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: China shares up sharply after package to boost market
Weekend news from China drove Chinese stocks sharply higher (before the fade back):Shanghai Composite Index opens up over 5%Shenzhen Component Index up 5.7%Chinext Price Index up nearly 7% (tech heavy index)CSI300 up more than 5%Securities brokerages hit limit-up...
Brent oil – More on biggest US oil ETF to focus majority of its holding to spot month
I posted on this earlier here:Bloomberg have more on this, link is here (gated):In brief:The biggest US oil ETF is reviving the pre-pandemic investment strategyUnited States Oil Fund will, in September, begin reallocating the majority of its holdings to the nearest...
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr speaks on Monday
Due at 1630 GMT, which is 1230 US Eastern time, Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr participates in "Banking Services" roundtable discussion with the Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes Council.This doesn't appear like it'll be event where Barr...
In H1 of 2023 Chinese auto exports were up 75.7% y/y
In the first six months of 2023, Chinese auto exports +75.7% year-on-year to 2.14 million vehiclesH1 overseas shipments of new energy vehicles (NEVs) -- a category that consists mainly of pure electric and hybrid models -- more than doubled to 534,000 units,...
US Commerce Sec says US stable economic relationship with China is profoundly important
U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo comments crossing: Says it is profoundly important that the US has stable economic relationship with ChinaThinks the US can make progress with China if both sides are 'direct, open and practical'Chinese Commerce Minister Wang...
Australian data: July retail sales +0.5% m/m (expected +0.3%)
Australian July retail sales +0.5% m/m is a good headline for this series. Its not a game changer, but a welcome bounce from the June drop. expected +0.3%, prior -0.8%for the y/y +2.1%These are the preliminary data, a further release for July will be made on September...
Chinese stock markets are set to rocket higher at the open, CSI300 to open 5.5% higher
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1856 (vs. estimate at 7.2854)
People's Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead.USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate.CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading...
Brent oil price likely anchored around $80 / bbl says Morgan Stanley
Oil could be anchored near $80 a barrel according to a Morgan Stanley note from late last week. The main points made are that:a more balanced oil market could be close byoil market is likely to remain in a deficit in the second of half of 2023 before returning to a...
Xi Jinping deep-rooted philosophical objections to Western-style consumption-driven growth
A weekend article in the Wall Street Journal says that Chinese Communist Party Chairman Xi Jinping has deep-rooted philosophical objections to Western-style consumption-driven growth, people familiar with decision-making in Beijing say. Xi sees such growth as wasteful...
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Preview of Australian July inflation data due mid-week. A key release for the RBA and AUD.
Commonwealth Bank of Australia:For the July monthly CPI, we see inflation increasing by just 0.1% in the month, taking the annual rate down to 4.7%. Strong growth in rents will remain a driver of inflation, but falls in household goods and petrol prices can provide an...
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2854 – Reuters estimate
People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...
China Evergrande shares will resume trading today, Monday, 28 August 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
China to restrict share reductions by major shareholders
China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is rolling out measures to shore up market confidence, including moves to further regulate major shareholders' share reductions.Restricting sales by major shareholders will reduce downside pressure. It's a short term...
Case builds for China’s banks to cut deposit rates
A piece from Reuters citing various sources, some unnamed. Last week the People's Bank of China left its key indicative mortgage rate, the 5 year LPR unchanged, against widespread expectations of a cut:Despite leaving the 5yr untouched, China's banks will cut deposit...
The Chinese yuan has gapped higher after announcement boost outweighs bad data
> Central Banks > The Chinese yuan has gapped higher after announcement boost outweighs bad data Central Banks <!--> --> <!--> --> <!--> USD/CNH is lower after the two items out of China over thew weekend. This:seems to be outweighing...