Eurostoxx +0.4%Germany DAX +0.4%France CAC 40 +0.6%UK FTSE +0.3%Spain IBEX +0.4%It's still early in the day but at least it is a bit of a breather after the heavy selling since last week. US futures are looking more tepid though, with S&P 500 futures seen down 8...
France June consumer confidence 85 vs 83 prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Germany July GfK consumer confidence -25.4 vs -23.0 expected
Prior -24.2; revised to -24.4German consumer morale is set to have declined heading into July as economic and income expectations fall looking to the month ahead. GfK notes that "the current development indicates that consumers are once again more uncertain". This...
Japan finance minister says exchange rate should move stably
One-sided movement seen in the current marketWill respond appropriately to excessive moves if necessaryNo comment on FX levelsThe verbal jawboning hasn't really deterred USD/JPY bulls to bring the pair up to 144.00 yesterday. If you're not familiar with the comments...
Trade ideas thread – European session 28 June 2023
The aussie isn't faring all too well today as it has been thrown a curveball via a softer monthly CPI data earlier here. That is seeing some accelerated downside for AUD/USD as highlighted here.Meanwhile, the yen continues to stay under pressure this week but traders...
Aussie thrown a bit of a curveball via inflation data today
AUD/USD is down 0.6% on the day to 0.6645 and it is mostly to do with the monthly inflation numbers here. That might be reason for the RBA to switch the dial on policy setting but it isn't definitive I would say. Inflation remains well above the target band set out by...
ANZ still expect a rate rise from the RBA next week, a +25bp cash rate hike
An unchanged call for the Reserve Bank of Australia even after the better inflation figures earlier:ANZ:We still expect a rate rise from the RBA in July despite the deceleration of monthly inflation (though the risk of a pause increases). CPI ex volatile items and...
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Head of Volkswagen in China asked Premier Li Qiang for clarity on new anti-espionage law
Earlier this year concerns were raised over China's new law against espionage that tightens state control over a wider swath of data and digital activities.As posted back then:“The business community necessarily needs information,” said Lester Ross, a Beijing-based...
Australian Dollar Slides After CPI Data; How Much More Downside in AUD/USD?
Australian Dollar Vs US Dollar, Australia Monthly CPI – Talking Points:AUD fell sharply after Australia monthly CPI came in well below expectations.RBA rate hike expectations for July have scaled back a bit after the data.What’s next for AUD/USD? Recommended by...
Russia’s energy ministry says gasoline exports down 30% in June from May
Statement from Russian Energy Ministry via Reuters:Says Russia's gasoline exports fell 30% in June from MayRussian refineries' gasoline production up 3.1% y/y as of the last week of JuneDiesel production +2% y/y at the end of June, reserves are at a historical highGas...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Australian inflation surge slows a little
The Australian dollar took a hit during the session on the release of May 2023 monthly inflation data. This came in at 5.6%, well below the 6.1% consensus mid-point estimate. Core measures for the month remained above 6% but it was the headline that the market...
The Swiss National Bank will be publishing a report on monetary policy on Wednesday
The Swiss National Bank (SNB)'s Quarterly Bulletin for Q2 2023 will be released at 1300 GMT, which is 0900 US Eastern time. The Bulletin typically includes sections covering: Monetary policy:With an assessment of the current and forecasted state of the Swiss economy,...
BOJ will intervene if USD/JPY threatens break of 150: “intervention … the last option”
A few comments on the yen from around the place. Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute says the Bank of Japan are only going to step in if the yen is about to break through 150: “Although they did it last year, currency intervention is still the last option.”Mitsubishi UFJ...
China industrial profits data for May fall again – NBS cites hit from insufficient demand
Chinese Industrial Profit for May comes in at -12.6% y/yprior -18.2%For the YTD January - MaY period Industrial Profits are -18.8% y/yprior -20.6%China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) says profits took a hit from insufficient demand but are improving (ie not as...
Australian dollar marked lower with the CPI data coming in well under what was expected
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Australian monthly CPI (May) 5.6% y/y (vs. expected 6.1%)
A much better inflation figure from Australia that probably takes a July rate hike off the table. Comes in at 5.6% y/y, a 13 month lowexpected 6.1%, prior 6.8%The 'core' reading that takes out volatile items and holiday travel is not so encouraging, though, coming in...
PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 7.2101 (vs. estimate at 7.2092)
People's Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead.USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate.CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading...
On USD/JPY towards 145: “We are now approaching FX intervention territory “
I posted earlier on the l;evel to watch according to NAB:More from NAB on the yen:Japan, is ... (engineering) a lower currency. The move up in core yields alongside improvement in (equity) risk appetite are supporting a weaker JPY given the BoJ ultra-easy policy.We...
Data on Tuesday showed inflation well off its highs in Canada – Bank of Canada implication
The May 2023 inflation data from Canada is here:RBC provide a "bottom line" forecast of what it means for the BoC:Although slowing, underlying inflation trends in Canada are still running well-above the BoC’s 2% target. Higher interest rates are cutting into household...