Reuters with the info that Russia is considering imposing an additional tax tied to the rouble-dollar rate on exports of metals, fertilisers and some other commodities.Reuters citing two unnamed sources. tax may be imposed from Octoberwould last until the end of...
Hedge fund CEO Jeffrey Gundlach says this is one of the best Fed decisions in a while
Gundlach is the founder of DoubleLine Capital, some remarks crossed the news wires in response to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions today. This is one of the best Federal Reserve decisions in a whileIts the right thing to not raise ratesWe have a lot...
USD/JPY cracks to a fresh 2023 high above 148.25 on higher for longer Federal Reserve
Japanese authorities are quick to tell us that they want the yen FX rate to reflect fundamentals. Well, it doesn't get much more fundamental than stark display of monetary policy divergence like a 500-odd bp differential between holding the USD vs. the JPY. And with...
US stocks not happy with “higher for longer” from the Fed
The major stock indices are ending the day lower and voting thumbs down to "higher for longer" (for the time being at least). The FOMC in their dot plot are forecasting one more hike in 2023 and raised the end-of-year 2024 rate to 5.1% from 4.6%. In my mind, 4.6% was...
Economic calendar in Asia for Thursday, 21 September 2023
New Zealand data kicks off the session. Q2 economic growth is expected to be positive as NZ crawls out of its recession. This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access it here. The times in the left-most column are GMT. The numbers in the right-most...
Trade ideas thread – Thursday, 21 September 2023 – Higher for longer edition
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
EURUSD cracks below 100 hour MA at 1.06748
EURUSD moves below the 100 hour MAThe EURUSD has moved to a new low for the day, and in the process, the price has moved below the 100-hour moving average 1.06748. Breaking below the 100-hour moving average will now set that level as a resistance level. The bias is...
A summary of the Fed Chair Q&A comments by topic
> Central Banks > A summary of the Fed Chair Q&A comments by topic Central Banks A parsing of the Fed Chair comments from Powell <!--> --> <!--> --> Employment/Labor Market:Labor market remains tight.Labor supply and demand are moving...
Highlights from the Fed Chair Powells press conference after September rate decision
Pre-QA comments from chair Powell:Fed is squarely focused on dual mandateFed has covered a lot of ground, full of facts have yet to be feltWe can proceed carefullyOur decisions will be based on assessments of data and risksGrowths in real GDP has come in above...
Watch Fed Powell’s Press conference LIVE
The Federal Reserve press conference following the September rate decision can be watched by clicking above. The Federal Reserve kept the target range for rates between 5.25% and 5.5%. They also kept the end-of-year rate at 5.6% unchanged from the June projection. For...
The dollar is higher, yields are higher and stocks are a bit lower after the FOMC decision
The initial reactions in the market were for the US dollar to move higher, yields to move higher, and stocks to move lower.EURUSD: The EURUSD moved from around 1.0725 through the 200 hour moving average 1.0702 and down to the 100 hour moving average 1.06749. The low...
Full statement from the September FOMC rate decision
Below is the full statement from the FOMC rate decision:For release at 2:00 p.m. EDTRecent indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have slowed in recent months but remain strong, and the unemployment rate has remained...
The Dot Plot sees the end of year Fed funds rate at 5.6%. The 2023 EOY rate at 5.1%.
At the June 2023 meeting the Fed projected the following median estimates for GDP, unemployment, PCE inflation, and core PCE inflation:FOMC median projections from June 2023In September 2023, the Median projections now show: Expectations are for GDP, unemployment,...
The FOMC keeps the target Fed Funds range at 5.25% to 5.50%
The Fed kept rates unchanged at the September 2023 meeting.Highlights:Target rate 5.25% – 5.5%2023 end of year target rate: 5.6%, unchanged from June2024 end of year target rate: 5.10% from 4.6% in JuneEconomic activity has been growing steadily.Job gains have...
BOC Sept minutes: BOC didn’t want to raise expectations of a near-term reduction in rates
The Bank of Canada's Governing Council did not want to set expectations for a rate reduction in the near future, as per the September 6th announcement minutes.The Council's discussions revolved around either maintaining the current rates or increasing them.Given the...
USD moves to new lows ahead of the FOMC decision
The strongest to the weakest of the major currenciesThe USD is the weakest of the major currencies and it is trading to new lows vs most of the major currencies in the current hourly bar. The only currency that the USD is not making a new low is the USDCAD, but it is...
AUDUSD is the biggest mover today with a gain of 0.74%. What are the technicals saying?
The AUDUSD is moving higher today with the pair being the biggest mover of the day (up 0.74%). The move to the upside has seen the price move above a swing area between 0.6480 and 0.6487. On the top side, the next key target comes against swing highs from the week of...
European major indices close higher. Encouraged by the weaker UK inflation data today.
The major European stock indices are closing higher on the day. The indices are encouraged by the lower than expected UK CPI inflation data today. That has traders paring back expectations for the BOE rate hike tomorrow. The expectations are now 50-50 for a rate hike....
NASDAQ index trades at new session lows. Down on the day.
Major US stock indices are trading mixed with the NASDAQ index trading to a new session close down -35.45 points or -0.26% at 13643.01. Meanwhile the Dow industrial averages still higher by about 190 points or 0.56% at 34706.The S&P index is in between those two...
Deutsche Bank now sees the Bank of England keeping rates unchanged at 5.25%
Deutsche Bank now sees the Bank of England keeping rates unchanged at 5.25% on Thursday. They previously saw an increase of 25 basis points. The UK's inflation rate unexpectedly slowed, leading to speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) might pause its interest...