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New Zealand Q2 Retail Sales -1.0% q/q (expected -2.6%)

New Zealand Q2 Retail Sales -1.0% q/q (expected -2.6%)

Consumers have been cutting back in New Zealand in the face of rapid and sustained interest rate hikes. The last two meetings of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand have been a bit of a relief with the Bank leaving the cash rate on hold. Retail sales -1.0% q/qexpected...

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Big money EUR/USD triggers for shorts at 1.0810 says UBS

Big money EUR/USD triggers for shorts at 1.0810 says UBS

A UBS note nominates a breach of 1.0810 in EUR/USD as a trigger for Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) to shift into short positions. say its a key level of clustered CTA triggers, and three are more if the euro falls below thereUBS say that CTAs are already short kiwi...

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Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 23 August 2023

Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 23 August 2023

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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Is China a risk to the Treasury market? Maybe not

Is China a risk to the Treasury market? Maybe not

Can trouble in China's economy cause a sustained selloff in Treasuries? The latest leg down in bonds has certainly coincided with a worsening outlook in China and intervention in the yuan, so I think there is a connection.Others -- including fixed income analysts at...

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EURJPY rotates back down toward swing area support

EURJPY rotates back down toward swing area support

The EURJPY moved above a swing area and ceiling area between 159.19 and 159.32 toward the end of yesterday and in the Asian-Pacific session today tried to stay above that area as well. However, momentum could not be sustained passed 159.484, and buyers eventually...

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Goldman Sachs: The dual forces driving the dollar’s rise

Goldman Sachs: The dual forces driving the dollar’s rise

Goldman Sachs identifies two dominant narratives shaping the current market dynamics: US Resilience and China Challenges. In the realm of foreign exchange, both these themes culminate in an amplified strength for the USD.1. US Resilience:Positive Economic Momentum:...

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US equities drift to session lows. Nasdaq gives up gains

US equities drift to session lows. Nasdaq gives up gains

The strong open in US equities has slowly faded and now the S&P 500 is down 12 points to 4387 while the Nasdaq has pared its gain to +0.05%.Eyes are on Nvidia ahead of tomorrow's earnings report. Shares hit a record high at the open but are now lower by 2.6%.For a...

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USDJPY shifts back into more neutral area

USDJPY shifts back into more neutral area

USDJPY falls back between 100 and 200 hour MAsThe USDJPY high today in the Asian-Pacific session stalled against the high from yesterday and set a ceiling area between 146.299 and 146.40.Sellers took the price down to - and through - the 100-hour moving average, on...

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