The dollar looks to finally broke through key levels this week and all there's left is for Powell not to muck it all up later today.EUR/USD breaks below 1.0800 and 100-day moving average of 1.0806USD/JPY breaks above 138.00 and resistance region of 137.77-91 to highs...
China state banks reportedly seen swapping yuan for dollars in onshore forwards market
The thinking here is to swap the yuan for dollars in the forwards market to manage the fall in the domestic currency itself. This is done via mopping up dollar liquidity from the swap market, thus reducing readiness of dollar sales against the yuan. This is part of...
How has the Fed pricing changed in the past week?
Now, that pricing has moved up to roughly 32% odds especially after the more hawkish headlines from yesterday. A look at the Fed funds futures curve also shows that traders have pared back their expectations on rate cuts. Previously, they saw three rate cuts by...
Little on the agenda in Europe today
There are a couple of interesting themes developing this week across markets and they're not really in sync. For one, the dollar is breaking out alongside higher yields but at the same time, we are seeing stocks rally courtesy of a breakout in tech.It's not your...
Dollar back in the driver’s seat
Once again, it was a day where the dollar rose despite equities rallying late as higher bond yields continue to underpin the currency. And it was definitely helped out by headlines like these:That resulted in another further shift in Fed rates pricing, with traders...
Federal Reserve Chair Powell is speaking on policy Friday, 19 May 2023
Before Powell speaks we get Willaims and then Bowman. Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Wiliams at 845am US Eastern time (1245 GMT) speaks before the Thomas Laubach Research Conference organized by the Federal Reserve Board of GovernorsFollowing at 0900...
European Central Bank President Lagarde and board member Schnabel speaking Friday
European Central Bank board member Isabel Schnabel will be speaking 19 May 2023 at:1455 GMT, which is 1055 US Eastern time at the Conference on Financial Stability and Monetary Policy Later, at 1600 GMT, 1200 US Eastern time, Isabel Schnabel will participate in a...
Pacific Ocean tsnami threat issued after M7.7 earthquake off New Caledonia
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Japanese inflation rises further, so do Japan stocks
Japanese inflation data was the focus for the day. April CPI came in higher than March in another acceleration. The Bank of Japan insist inflation is expected to fall from around October. Note the ‘transitory’ inflation argument has not worked out well at all for...
Yuan finds buyers – state banks intervention likely, selling USD/CNH
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Bank of England MPC member Haskell speaking Friday, 19 May 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
USA30 Index Trying to Build Strength Above EMA200
US stock indexes rose on Thursday (18/05), amid increasing optimism that the US will raise its debt ceiling and avoid default. House Speaker McCarthy said negotiators were in a much better position at the moment and he saw a debt limit deal being considered in the...
Increasing flow of yen overseas to pay for video & music streaming a drag on yen (but …)
Barclays on Japan’s “digital deficit,” i.e. payments to overseas technology companies like Netflix and Amazon. Analysts say its become large relative to trade and travel in the country’s current-account balance and its continued expansion will pressure the yenreached...
China is considering moving stakes in bad banks to sovereign wealth fund
Bloomberg (gated) with the info that China's Ministry of Finance proposes moving its stakes in 3 firms managing bad debts:China Cinda Asset Management Co., China Great Wall Asset Management Co. and China Orient Asset Management Coto Central Huijin Investment. The...
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TD forecast higher EU inflation and thus many more ECB rate hikes (4% terminal)
TD say that their estimate of inflation for the euro-area through 2023 has been significantly raised. Analysts now expect headline inflation at 3.6% y/y in Q4 of this year (the ECB currently project 2.8%)core inflation 4.3% for Q4 2023 alsoTD analysts add that the...
PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.0356 (vs. estimate at 7.0392)
People's Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead.USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate.CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading...
US Dollar Eyeing Best 2-Week Performance Since September, Eyes on Resistance
US Dollar, DXY, Debt Ceiling Deal Bets, Jobless Claims – Briefing:US Dollar on course for best 2-week gain since SeptemberDebt ceiling deal bets, jobless claims data boosted demandDXY uptrend in focus after 100-day SMA was taken out Recommended by Daniel Dubrovsky Get...
BOJ Gov Ueda says a US debt default would have a huge impact on global economies
Bank of Japan Governor Ueda If US Defaults on its debt, that will undoubtedly have a huge impact on US, Global economiesA US Debt default could cause market turmoil, will likely affect wide array of financial transactionsBOJ will strive to maintain market stability,...