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Trade balance data from Japan for July 2023, along with Machinery orders for June. exports fell for the first time in 29 monthsExports to:China -13.4% y/ythe US +13.5% y/ythe EU +12.4% y/yI think you can see the problem, right? China's economic stumble out of...
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Orr is speakingsays the Bank has time to watch and wait (and worry!) on interest ratesthere are too many uncertainties to provide forward guidanceis convinced the Bank is being restrictive with its policy over the next 1 to 2...
Barclays analysts say their modelling indicates the recent decline is not explained by rates or equities, but it's the resurgence of the carry trade that's responsible. Which is a rates story anyway, right?Barlcays project a change though, forecasting USD/JPY towards...
Producer Price Index data from New Zealand for Q2 2023, published by Statistics New Zealand (also known as Stats NZ).These are tame price movements. Earlier we heard from RBNZ Governor Orr on inflation in NZ:---The Producer Price Index (PPI) is a measure of the...
Coinbase has been granted regulatory approval from the National Futures Association (NFA), a CFTC-designated self-regulatory organization, to introduce crypto futures to its US institutional customers.The service will operate alongside the firm's existing spot crypto...
Summary points of an extended piece from JP Morgan Global Economic Research on the 'fate of the global expansion'.Global corporate profit gains slowed less than expected due to upside surprises to real GDP and inflation While this resilience is supporting job and...
Global Chief Economist at Morgan Stanley Seth Carpenter on Federal Reserve Chair Powell at the Kansas City Jackson Hole gathering coming up. says Powell will likely discuss future policy direction at the event thinks Powell won't promise any immediate changesbut...
Mortgage interest rate remarks from Lawrence Yun,s chief economist at the National Association of Realtors in the US. He outlined a couple of scenarios:If the Fed says inflation is contained, then mortgage rates are likely to slide down to about 6% by year-endIf the...
The GBP was the strongest of the major currencies after higher-than-expected CPI data was released in the UK session. The AUD was the weakest. The USD moved higher today and just below the GBP for the strongest of the major indices. The dollar index (DXY) moved to the...
Reserve Bank of New Zealand official, including Governor Orr and Chief Economis COnway are appearing before a parliamentary committee, parliament's Finance and Expenditure Committee.Orr:Confident that inflation pressures are easingEconomy is going through a necessary...
The Australian labour market survey for July 2023 is due at 11.30 am Sydney time, which is 0130 GMT and 9.30 pm US Eastern time Expected and priors can be found here:Commonwealth Bank of Australia is expecting the unemployment rate slightly higher than consensus at...
It was another down day (with a nasty close). The NASDAQ index once again led the way lower with a decline over 1%. The final numbers are showing.Dow Industrial Average fell -180.67 points or -0.52% at 34765.73S&P index fell -33.53 points or -0.76% at...
Expectations are that Australia's labour market will remain tight. So far there is little sign that wages are triggering spiralling inflation though. The latest we've had from the RBA have been pauses at a 4.1% cash rate and messaging that if the hiking cycle is not...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Major stock indices are not doing well heading into the close. The Dow Industrial Average is the best performer with a decline of -0.44%. The S&P index is down -0.64% and the NASDAQ index is down -0.98%.Looking at the hourly chart, the NASDAQ is trading at its...
AUDUSD making new lowsIn an earlier video on the AUDUSD, I talked to the possibility of a bounce in the AUDUSD. The pair is oversold. The RSI was diverging on the hourly chart the price needed to get back above the end-of-May low near 0.64587. Looking at the hourly...
Crude oil settles at $79.38Down -$1.61 or -1.99%The high price reached $81.43.The low price reached $79.28There is support near the $79 level. Move below that level and it would open the door for further downside potential. The swing high from July 14 comes in at...
The Federal Reserve meeting minutes of 4 the July 2023 meeting:Uncertainty of U.S. economic outlook remains elevated; future Federal Reserve policy decisions to be driven by the totality of data from the July 25-26 meeting.Most participants said inflation risks could...
EURUSD looks to test the 61.8% retracementThe EURUSD is moving to a new session low and in the process is looking to test that 61.8% retracement of the move up from the May 31 low. The low comes in at 1.08801.On Monday, the price moved below that retracement level to...