EURGBP dailyFollowing the unexpected surge in the UK's July CPI data as released by the ONS, MUFG offers insights on how to strategize positions in the GBP.Key Points:July CPI Data Surprise:The ONS revealed an unexpected uptick in July's CPI data, coming after the...
Major indices are mixed in early US trading. Dow industrial average higher. NASDAQ lower.
The major US indices are trading mixed in early US trading:Dow Industrial Average is higher. It index is currently up 142 points or 0.41% of 35092S&P index is near unchanged. It's index is up 6 points or 0.14% of 4444. NASDAQ index is lower. It's index is down -28...
USDCAD has more bullish technical overtones on daily chart. Find out why in this video.
The USDCAD has been trading above and below its 200-day moving average over the last few trading days. Yesterday it broke to the upside and also extended above the 50% midpoint of the 2023 trading range. Both those developments tilts the bias of further in favor of...
July US industrial production +1.0% vs +0.3% expected
Prior was -0.5% (revised to -0.8%)Capacity utilization +79.3% vs 79.1% expectedManufacturing output +0.5% vs 0.0% expectedPrior manufacturing output -0.3% (revised to -0.5%)US manufacturing is in a recession but there have been some green shoots pointing towards a...
Kickstart your trading day w/ a technical review/overview of the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD
Kickstart your trading day with a technical review and overview of some of the major currency pairs. In this video, I take a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD.EURUSD: For the EURUSD, the pair moved up to test it at 100-day moving average of 1.09313, and...
Target: US comp trends softened in late-May and June before a meaningful recovery in July
Target shares are up 6.2% in the pre-market despite cutting its full-year sales and profit forecast. It's Q2 revenue fell short of estimates but earnings beat.The company now sees full-year earnings of $7-8 versus $7.75-$8.75 previously. Shares have recently slumped...
Canada wholesale trade for June -2.8% versus -4.2% expected
> Canada wholesale trade for June -2.8% versus -4.2% expected Canada wholesale trade for June 2023 <!--> --> <!--> Canada wholesale trade for June 2023Prior month 3.5% revised to 2.9%Wholesale sales (excluding certain categories) dropped -2.8% to...
US July housing starts 1.452m vs 1.448m expected
Prior was 1.434m (revised to 1.398m)Starts +3.9% vs -11.7% priorBuilding permits 1.442m vs 1.463m expectedPermits +0.1% vs -3.7% priorUS home prices have held up better than anticipated this year but builders aren't rushing to put up more homes. They've been using...
Canada July housing starts 255K vs 240K expected
Canada housing startsPrior was 281.4K (revised to 283.5K)Multi-urban starts -12% m/mSingle-detached starts -4% m/mThe drop this month comes after a very strong month in June, which was the best since Sept 2022. There's a real sense of urgency towards building more...
The GBP is the strongest and the CHF is the weakest as the NA session begins
The strongest to the weakest of the major currenciesThe GBP is the strongest and the CHF is the weakest as the North American session begins. The UK CPI came in at 6.8% a bit higher than the forecast of 6.7% (although down from 7.9% last month) and has the pound...
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Pound gains on CPI data, risk mood more tentative
Headlines:Markets:GBP leads, CHF lags on the dayEuropean equities mixed; S&P 500 futures flatUS 10-year yields down 3.4 bps to 4.187%Gold up 0.1% to $1,903.77WTI crude up 0.3% to $81.24Bitcoin down 0.2% to $29,118It was a bit of a mixed session as markets continue...
Ethereum Technical Analysis – Key support area in sight
Like Bitcoin, Ethereum continues to surprise in light of many headwinds that range from economic issues in China and risks of higher rates if inflation remains stubbornly high given the resilience in the labour markets and consumer spending. Ethereum Technical...
China says will strengthen policy coordination in order to meet growth target
To strengthen coordination of various policies to boost growthTo continue to expand policy room to bolster consumption, promote investmentWill make greater efforts to attract and utilise foreign investmentTo fend off major risksThe cabinet meeting is said to be held...
US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 11 August -0.8% vs -3.1% prior
Prior -3.1%Market index 193.0 vs 194.5 priorPurchase index 149.5 vs 149.9 priorRefinance index 408.4 vs 416.1 prior30-year mortgage rate 7.16% vs 7.09% priorMortgage applications continue to fall, this time largely due to a drop in refinancing activity. It's not a...
S&P 500 set to be put to the test later today
US futures are now trading flattish again after a light advance earlier. There are lingering jitters from China and despite a retreat in bond yields today, it isn't enough to really spur a push higher in stocks. That might be the tell for equities sentiment in...
Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Awaiting a catalyst
Bitcoin continues to surprise in light of many headwinds that range from economic issues in China and risks of higher rates if inflation remains stubbornly high given the resilience in the labour markets and consumer spending. Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Daily...
China concerns continue to linger in the market
The latest news out of China is that one of its biggest trust firms, Zhongrong International, has missed payments on dozens of investment products since late last month. That is raising further questions on financial sector troubles in the country, amid the...
Copper Technical Analysis – Watch what happens around this key trendline
Copper continues to be tightly correlated with what happens in China. In fact, we saw strong rallies following news of more policy support from the Chinese authorities, but the ugly economic data eventually prevailed on the sentiment and led to a big selloff....
Eurozone Q2 GDP second estimate +0.3% vs +0.3% q/q prelim
This matches the initial estimates and is a bit of a surprise given how downbeat the recent data is. Eurostat does note that there could be an outlier though, with Irish GDP jumping by 3.3% - driven by the taxation reasons, which is seeing an oversized impact among...
Eurozone June industrial production +0.5% vs -0.1% m/m expected
Prior +0.2%; revised to 0.0%This is a welcome beat and looking at the breakdown, it is largely driven by a rebound in energy production (+0.5%) which fell by over 2% in May. Meanwhile, there were falls observed in intermediate goods (-0.9%), capital goods (-0.7%),...