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The inventory data from the private survey is out now, official data follows Wed. morning (US time).Builds across the board.Via Twitter:Expectations I had seen centred on:Headline crude -0.5 mn barrelsDistillates +1.2 mn bblsGasoline +0.3 mn--This data point is from a...
The S&P 500 continued to break through the August 2022 high after a soft CPI kneecapped Fed hike expectations for tomorrow:S&P 500 +0.7%Nasdaq Comp +0.8%Russell 2000 +1.2%DJIA +0.4%Toronto TSX Comp +0.3%The Russell 2000 has much further to go to get back to...
Here's the first rate cut - on Tuesday the PBOC cut its repo rate:And, the second cut - the Bank followed up with another cut overnight, lowered the interest rates on its standing lending facility (SLF) by 10 basis points:the rate on the overnight SLF was reduced to...
New Zealand data is all I have on the calendar for the session. And its not likely to move the NZD too much opon release. This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access it here. The times in the left-most column are GMT. The numbers in the right-most...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
An unheralded US economic risk this month is the fate of around $430 billion in forgiven US student debt.The Supreme Court will decide on whether President Biden had the authority to write off the debt this month. The exact date of decisions aren't disclosed but it's...
Crude oil is higher in the day but below 38.2% retracementThe price of crude oil did rally sharply today with the price settling at $69.42 up $2.30 or 3.43%.The high price extended to $69.83. The low was at $67.15. Looking at the hourly chart above, the run to the...
The US government is in the oil trading business now. The 12 million barrels includes the 3 million already announced for Aug and Sept.It will be interesting how this affects balances but it's a tiny amount compared to 250 million barrels that have been...
The market is broadly selling the yen on a higher-rates-for-longer trade globally in the hopes of a soft landing and improving global growth due to China stimulus.The trade makes sense and USD/JPY is now threatening to break out of a consolidation pattern that's...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US 5 year yield moves higherThe US 5-year yield is trading at 4.02% up 10.3 basis points on the day. The high yield reached 4.024%. That extended above the May 2023 high of 3.99% and took the yield to the highest level since March 9. The low yield today was down at...
Lower CPI today should have been a green light for lower yields but instead the opposite is unfolding with 5-year yields tracking from 3.81% after CPI to 4.01% last -- a swing of 20 bps.The rise above 4% is the highest since just before the banking rout.What could be...
The NZDUSD buyers made a play to the upside in the Asian session and pushed to and through the 200-day MA at 0.61488, with the high for the day reached after the weaker US CPI data. However, after breaking above that key MA, the next target at the 50% retracement area...
I'm not sure what kind of timeline the White House is talking about here but the American Enterprise Institute's housing center today upgraded its base case for US home prices to rise 4% this year and another 6% in 2024.A year ago everyone was bearish on US...
Trump is facing 37 charges including the wilful retention of national defense information, conspiracy to obstruct justice and concealing a document in a federal investigation. The charges carry a threat of significant prison time if he is convicted.Trump is not...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
EUR/CAD dailyGoldman Sachs recently shared its perspective on the euro, suggesting that its upside potential is limited due to similarities in macroeconomic conditions in the eurozone and other regions. The firm believes that the divergence in market pricing between...
High yield 3.908%Tail: -1.1 basis points 6-month average 0.5bpsBid -to-Cover: 2.52X versus 6 month average 2.35XDirects (a measure of domestic demand): 18.13% versus 6-month average 19.2%Indirects (a measure of foreign demand): 72.91% versus 6-month average...
The U.S. Treasury will auction off $18 billion of 30 year bonds at the top of the hour. The six-month averages of the major components shows:Tail: 6-month average 0.5bps Bid-to-Cover: 6 month average 2.35X) Directs (a measure of domestic demand): 6-month average 19.2%...
USDCHF sloppy trading has settled between swing areas.The USDCHF is lower on the day retracing most of the gains seen yesterday when the CHF was the weakest of the major currencies (higher USDCHF). The move higher yesterday stalled near the swing highs from Thursday...