An analyst at Morgan Stanley Investment Management is worried about persistent US inflation:“I’m more worried about 2024 than I am about 2023” “Right now, the monthly year-over-year inflation numbers are coming down, but that’s going to get tougher next year. The bar...
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: US dollar hits the highs of the year against JPY and AUD
Markets:Gold down $13 to $1925US 10-year yields down 9.9 bps to 4.27%WTI crude oil up $1.12 to $86.67S&P 500 down 0.4%USD leads, AUD lagsThe US dollar was strong as North American traders returned from a holiday. The driver was bond yields as they rose for a...
Bank of Japan monetary policy board member Takata is speaking Wednesday, 6 September 2023
At 0130 GMT on Wednesday, 6 September 2023, which is 2130 US Eastern time on Tuesday 5 September, Bank of Japan board member Hajime Takata delivers a speech and afterwards holds a news conference.We don't hear from Takata much, the last time I have a record of him...
US equities close on the lows in sluggish day
The headline here sounds more dramatic than it was. US equities opened soft and then there was some modest buying to bring them back to unchanged, then late they slumped again to just below the opening lows.S&P 500 down 0.4%DJIA -0.6%Russell 2000 -2.0%Nasdaq Comp...
Economic calendar in Asia Wednesday, 6 September 2023 – Australia Q2 GDP
It's a threadbare data calendar for the session ahead.Australian Q2 economic growth is expected to avoid contracting. This snapshot from the ForexLive economic data calendar, access it here. The times in the left-most column are GMT. The numbers in the right-most...
Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 6 September 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
More talk about corporate debt issuance pushing up yields
US 10 year yieldThe bond rout on Friday and today has been a tough one to explain. Oil prices have risen but nothing has materially changed in the fundamental or Fed view.Earlier, I brought you talk that corporate bond issuance was something people in the bond market...
Bank of Canada preview: Loonie hits five-month low ahead of rate decision. What’s next
The Canadian dollar is undoubtedly a commodity currency and its largest export by far is crude oil. So why is oil at a 10-month high and the Canadian dollar at a 5-month low?Here are some of the things dragging down the loonie:Worries about global growth --...
MUFG: BOC in no rush to hike, bad news already priced into CAD
USDCAD dailyMUFG suggests that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may not be in a hurry to increase rates, especially after the recent disappointing Q2 GDP report. However, they also note that the Canadian dollar (CAD) is trading at undervalued levels, suggesting that much of...
United Airlines asks FAA to pause its departures throughout the US (update: cancelled)
United Airlines has issued a nationwide ground stop for all flights due to a computer issue, according to the FAA.You have to wonder if there's some incompetence here in the systems or if hackers are exploiting something for ransom. In either case, these computer...
Goldman Sachs: Risks skewed towards sustained dollar strength
Goldman Sachs asserts that despite a macroeconomic backdrop that generally supports a weaker dollar—namely, lower rate volatility, slowing yet solid U.S. growth, and positive risk sentiment—the risks look skewed towards a stronger dollar than most market participants...
WEMIX Introduces “unagi”: A New Omnichain Initiative That Transcends Blockchain Boundaries
· Aims to create a vast ecosystem to drive common growth of global blockchains · Complete user-customized omnichain network to easily and conveniently utilize services across multiple blockchains· All platforms and dApps are connected as one with blockchains bringing...
Australian dollar touches the low of the year, then hesistates
AUDUSD dailyThis is a tough one.AUD/USD broke support earlier today and touched the lowest since November 2022. The decline today is 77 pips and comes after the Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged. That was widely expected (I thought) but not as much I...
Oil legs higher again. Brent tops $91
WTI crude oil has extended higher by $2.36 to $87.88 while brent has edged above $91 for the first time since November 2022.WTI dailyI suspect there was some 'sell the fact' style profit taking in crude after the Saudi and Russian announcements but now that's being...
European equity close: The lack of conviction continues
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
New Zealand GDT price index +2.7% vs -7.4% prior
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Morgan Stanley shifts to a bearish stance on emerging market currencies
USDMXN dailyMorgan Stanley is warning of declines in emerging markets."We expect more CNH (yuan) weakness, and China macro risks add to existing pressure from weak global growth and EM central bank easing cycles.. We maintain a neutral stance on EM rates and...
Fed’s Mester: We might have to go a bit higher
The labour market has also come more into balancefrom what I see so far, that we might have to go a bit higher, that we might have to raise the policy rate a bit more. there is still a lot of time before our next decision in September and we will get a lot of data and...
A pair of storms begin to form in the mid-Atlantic
The oil market is in focus due to OPEC+ at the moment but it could be on storms later this week.The NHC forecasts a near 100% chance of one system forming into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours with the second showing a 70% chance over the coming seven days.The...
US August employment trends 113.02 vs 115.45 prior
Prior was 115.45 (revised to 114.71)“The ETI ticked down in August and has been on an overall declining trend since March 2022," said Selcuk Eren, Senior Economist at The Conference Board. “The index is still elevated, so job gains may continue over the coming months,...