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Mon: Australian Retail Sales (Jul)Tue: NBH Announcement, German GfK Consumer Sentiment (Sep), US CaseShiller (Jun) and JOLTS (Jul)Wed: Australian CPI (Jul), Spanish Flash CPI (Aug), EZ Sentiment Survey (Aug), US GDP 2nd Estimate (Q2), US ADP National Employment...
US equities finish the week on a high noteECB's Kazaks: I'm in no rush to say that we are done on ratesLagarde: "Pretty confident" that by end-2023 inflation numbers will look differentECB Lagarde: Need to set rates at sufficiently restrictive level for as long as...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Closing changes:S&P 500 +0.6%DJIA +0.7%Nasdaq Comp +.09% Russell 2000 +0.4%Toronto TSX Comp +0.5%On the week:S&P 500 +0.8DJIA -0.4%Nasdaq Comp +2.3%Russell 2000 -0.4%Toronto TSX Comp -0.1%The chart of the Russell 2000 is concerning. It looks topped out and the...
In no rush to say that we are done on rates, a rate pause wouldn't mean stoppingWe will see the data then decideStopping too early is bigger problem than cuttingShould return to 2% target sooner than end-2025 This article was written by Adam Button at...
Disinflation has to be 'timely' and 'sustainable'German growth not broken and demonstrating resilienceProximity to war in Ukraine part of the reason for differing economic paths for US and EuropeChanging inflation target would be 'deceptive' and counter to anchoring...
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Energy transition and climate change is triggering profound transformations in energy marketsWe are seeing profound changes in the labour market and the nature of workIf we face both higher investment needs and greater supply constraints, we are likely to see stronger...
Today's trading has been a journey as the market tries to sort out the economy and the bond market. Treasury yields are still higher on the day but have been reeled in from earlier levels.US 10-year yields are up just 0.2 bps on the day to 4.23% from a high of 4.28%...
The price of WTI crude oil futures are settling at $79.83. That's up $0.78 or 0.99%.For the week, the price-1.03% or $-0.87 (at current levels). It is the 2nd consecutive week to the downside after last week's decline of -3.04%.Crude oilLooking at the chart above, at...
EURUSD 10 mWhat's priced in for the ECB ahead of today's speech from President Christine Lagarde and her 3 pm ET speech? The market is priced 50/50 for whether there will be a hike on September 14 and that rises to above 70% for the October meeting and then fades in...
Brent crude hourlyOil has taken a quick trip lower after brent fell through $84 in the past hour. That leaves oil down 31-cents on the day after rising as high as $84.74 earlier.The selling comes despite the latest US oil rig count falling by anotehr 8 rigs. They're...
With the month ending next Thursday, what moves did we see in August?The USD moved higher versus all the major currencies:DXY: Looking at the dollar index (weighted dollar index), it moved up 2.28% this month. Looking at the daily chart, the price started the month...
Oil rigs moved from 520 to 512 or -8 rigsNatural gas rigs moved from 117 to 115 or -2 rigsTotal rigs moved from 642 to 632 or -10 rigsThe trend in rigs continue to the downside. From a year ago, the total rigs are down -133 rigs or -17.4%. The price of crude oil is...
Monday:The PBoC cut the 1-year LPR rate by less than expected and held the 5-year rate steady:LPR 1-year 3.45% vs. 3.40% expected and 3.55% prior.LPR 5-year 4.20% vs. 4.05% expected and 4.20% prior. PBoCThe German July PPI missed expectations:PPI M/M -1.1% vs. -0.2%...
> Central Banks > Goolsbee: Still feels confident about reaching the "golden path" of a soft landing Central Banks Talking on CNBC at Jackson Hole <!--> --> <!--> --> Feels confident about a soft landingNothing has happened in the last 2 months...
NZDUSD tests trend line support and bouncesThe NZDUSD - like other currencies versus the US dollar - has seen USD buying/NZDUSD selling. THe prices low reached a new low going back to November 2020 at 0.5895. The low price today reached 0.5885.At the session low, the...
The major European indices rebounded into the close and in doing so moved into positive territory. A snapshot of the market closing levels shows:German DAX, up 10.35 points or +0.07%Frances CAC, up 15.14 points or +0.21%UK's FTSE 100 up 4.93 points or +0.07%Spain's...
We have to be very diligent about thisWe don't want to be satisfied because inflation remains too highWe've had stronger underlying momentum since June forecastsWe've made progress on inflationCore inflation over 4% is still too highNotes she doesn't have cuts built...
UAW workers are voting now to authorize a strike and the current tally is around 97%. This is more of a procedural step to give union leadership the power to strike and was a sure thing.The problem is that workers are asking for a lot in negotiations, and that's not a...