The major indices all closed higher today led by the Nasdaq index ahead of Nvidia earnings after the close. Will the earnings season end on a high note or a low note? The earnings release is expected to be at around 4:20 PM ET with estimates of $2.09 EPS on revenues...
GBPUSD has a volatile down and back up day. What next?
GBPUSD trades back near the 100/200 hour moving averagesThe GBPUSD has a volatile down and up day. In the European session, the price fell sharply on the back of weaker UK PMI flash data. That move to the downside to the price below its 100-day moving average, but the...
Earnings preview: NVDA stock trades near all-time high. Beware of sell-the-fact
What time are NVDA earnings: Wednesday, 23rd August a 16:20 ET -- 20 minutes after the bell, thought that time may not be exact.Nvidia (NVDA) is about to unveil its quarterly earnings, and the anticipation is insane. I can't remember an earnings report that was this...
WTI crude futures settle at $78.89
Today, crude oil futures fell back below the $79 level that has been a decent support level and resistance going back to April (see red numbered circles on the chart below). The fall below the level took the price down to a intraday low of $77.62 before bouncing back...
BRICS countries agree to expand membership
BRICS leaders (sans Putin) met this week in South Africa and expanding the group has been on the agenda for awhile so this isn't a surprise. The aim -- at least for China -- is creating a something to counter the G7.Saudi Arabia is high on the list of countries that...
Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin killed in a plane crash
There are various reports that a Wagner-owned Embraer Legacy 600 Business Jet was shot down by Russian air defenses over the Tver region by a Pantsir air defense system (though some reports say a bomb may have been planted on board).Tass reports that Yevgeny Prigozhin...
US treasury auctions of $16B of 20 year bonds at a high yield of 4.499%
The US treasury auctioned off $16B of 20 year bonds at a high yield of 4.499%. The WI level at the time of the auction was at 4.49%.High Yield:4.499%Previous auction: 4.036%Six-auction average: 3.968%WI at the time of the auction: 4.49%Tail: 0.9 basis pointsPrevious...
US treasury to auction off a $16 billion of 20 year bonds at the top of the hour
The US treasury will auction off $16 billion a 20 year pause at the top of the hour. The details of the last auction and the 2nd with averages of the major components are outlined below. The auction success will be contingent on the details of the components. High...
USD fall continues. The greenback is now lower vs most of major currencies
The USD is continuing its move to the downside in the NY session after the weaker than expected flash PMI data. The greenback is now weaker versus all the major currencies with the exception of the GBP, after trading at higher levels after both EU and UK PMI data also...
European equity close: The FTSE 100 likes the idea of lower rates
Good news is bad news for the moment but you can't sustain a rally on bad news for long; or at least until rate cuts are near.Closing changes today:Stoxx 600 +0.4%German DAX +0.2%FTSE 100 +0.7%French CAC +0.1%Italy MIB +0.3%Spain IBEX +0.05%UK FTSE 100 dailyMoneyMaker...
Broader US indices making new highs
Both the S&P index and the NASDAQ index are trading to new session highs and are making new week highs as well. The S&P is trading to new highs going back to last Wednesday. The NASDAQ index is trading to the highest level since Tuesday of last week.In the...
Bad news is still good news… but the bad news is mounting
The market is increasingly comfortable that the Fed has hit the terminal top and will cut rates by 100 basis points in 2024.US 10-year yields are down 10 bps to 4.22% today and Fed funds futures are implying a lower path from Powell ahead of Jackson Hole. The impled...
The USDCHF falls to moving averages support on the 4 hour chart and is stalling.What next?
The USDCHF rose earlier in the session, but cannot extend above the high of a swing area between 0.8805 and 0.88273. The high price today reached between that area at 0.88163 before rotating back to the downside.The weaker US PMI data sent a price to new session lows,...
US EIA weekly oil inventories -6135K vs -2850 expected
Prior was -5960KGasoline +1467K vs -888K expectedDistillates +945K vs +218K expectedRefinery utilization -0.2% vs +0.4% expectedAPI data late yesterday showed:Crude -2418KGasoline +1898KDistillates -153KOil has ticked higher on the headline, paring losses from...
US non-farm payrolls benchmark revisions take 306K from March 2023 level of employment
Total employment lowered by 0.2%This is the preliminary estimate of March 2023 total employment with the final revision coming in early February. There had been some talk of 500K job losses so it's not quite as bad, but it's still a significant drop and softens US...
US July new home sales 714K vs 705K expected
Prior was 697KSingle family sales +4.4% vs -2.8% priorMedian sale price $ 436.7K vs $478.2K a year ago (-8.7%) Supply months 7.3 vs 7.4 months priorThis is a solid report but the a couple things are growing more clear. 1) Home builders are cutting the size of homes...
US dollar moves lower after weaker flash US PMI data. What next technically?
It's now the USD turn to react to lower PMI. The US manufacturing and services PMI came in weaker than expected. The manufacturing came in at 47.0 versus 49.3. The services index dipperd to 51.0 from 52.2. The composite index remained just above the 50 level at 50.4...
Eurozone August flash consumer confidence -16.0 vs -14.3 expected
> Eurozone August flash consumer confidence -16.0 vs -14.3 expected Early release of August eurozone flash PMI <!--> Adam Button Wednesday, 23/08/2023 | 13:49 GMT-0 23/08/2023 | 13:49 GMT-0 --> <!--> Prior was -15.1 ADVERTISEMENT - CONTINUE READING...
USDCAD moves higher after Canadian retail sales. What are the charts telling traders now?
Buyers in the USDCAD took the price above a swing area between 1.3564 and 1.3585 after weaker Canadian retail sales. The buyers are making a play and potentially looking toward the extremes from April and May as the next key targets. If the price can stay above the...
US August S&P Global services flash PMI 51.0 vs 52.2 expected
Prior was 52.3Manufacturing 47.0 vs 49.3 expected (prior was 49.0)Composite 50.4 vs 52.0 prior"Cost pressures regained some momentum as the rate of input price inflation quickened on the back of greater fuel, wage and raw material costs."US firms were more upbeat in...