I don't think the market is overly worried about 0.3 pp of Chinese growth.What it's worried about is that China isn't dead-set on hitting economic targets anymore and boosting growth. The central bank cut rates today but not as aggressively as assumed. The problem for...
ForexLive European FX news wrap: Dollar mixed, equities sentiment hopeful
Headlines:Markets:CAD leads, JPY lags on the dayEuropean equities higher; S&P 500 futures up 0.5%US 10-year yields up 4.9 bps to 4.298%Gold up 0.3% to $1,893.79WTI crude up 1.3% to $82.30Bitcoin flat at $26,081It was a relatively quiet session as markets get...
The EUR is the strongest and the JPY is the weakest as the NA session begins
The strongest to the weakest of the major currenciesThe EUR is the strongest and the JPY the weakest as the NA session begins. The USD is mostly modestly lower after rising last week. The greenback rose against all the major currencies last week with the one...
JP Morgan says expects China to cut RRR by 25 bps in the current quarter
This is a similar view shared by Citi and Barclays as well quite a number of other analysts. Beijing already lacked in response to cutting the lending policy rates today but with mounting pressure on the economy and especially the property sector, further liquidity...
Nasdaq Composite Technical Analysis – We are at a key support
The Nasdaq Composite selloff has been remarkable with key levels being breached with no hesitation as the sentiment turned negative. The reason for the selloff is unclear as the US data has been supporting the soft-landing narrative but the sharp slowdown in the...
USD/JPY looks to resume upside momentum to start the new week
There's not much in terms of headlines driving the move but higher bond yields are certainly playing a part I would say. 10-year Treasury yields are still up 5 bps to 4.301% and that is underpinning yen pairs so far on the session. The near-term chart for USD/JPY is...
Gold Technical Analysis – Break of the low is a bad omen for the buyers
The rise in US real yields coupled with a strong US Dollar is weighing a lot on Gold. The precious metal can’t even find support from the economic data as we keep getting strong releases that raise the risk of more rate hikes from the Fed. All else being equal, Gold...
Stock Indices Steady as PBOC Reduces its 1-Year Loan Prime Rate to a Record Low
Article by IG Senior Market Analyst Axel RudolphFTSE 100, CAC 40, Nasdaq 100 Charts and AnalysisFTSE 100 stabilises at supportFollowing six consecutive days of falling prices, the FTSE 100 managed to find support between its March and July lows at 7,216 last week...
China’s major state-owned banks reportedly seen mopping up offshore yuan liquidity today
This continues from last week's developments here:As concerns surrounding China's economic prospects grow deeper, so is the pressure on the yuan currency. That continued today as well after the PBOC delivered a less-than-convincing rate cut. And as mentioned at the...
Are equities straying offside today?
It is definitely some hopeful optimism but as we learned last week, the early gains definitely do not mean much. There was some modest dip buying on Friday that helped to salvage a poor start in Wall Street. That seems to be continuing here but I would still reserve...
Dow Jones Technical Analysis – The fakeout might be a big bearish sign
The Dow Jones selloff has been remarkable with key levels being breached with no hesitation as the sentiment turned negative. The reason for the selloff is unclear as the US data has been supporting the soft-landing narrative but the sharp slowdown in the Chinese...
UBS cuts China 2023 GDP growth forecast again, now to 4.8% from 5.2% previously
And they likely won't be the only ones revising lower the growth outlook for the Chinese economy. Things are certainly not looking good in China and the lack of fiscal support is really not helping I would say. Even the rate cut today is failing to convince domestic...
SNB total sight deposits w.e. 18 August CHF 476.2 bn vs CHF 484.8 bn prior
> SNB total sight deposits w.e. 18 August CHF 476.2 bn vs CHF 484.8 bn prior Latest data released by the SNB - 21 August 2023 <!--> Justin Low Monday, 21/08/2023 | 08:00 GMT-0 21/08/2023 | 08:00 GMT-0 --> <!--> Domestic sight deposits CHF 466.4 bn vs...
Market Update – 21 August – PBOC disappoints, markets quiet
APAC stocks traded mixed as the disappointment from China’s decision on its Loan Prime Rates overshadowed its recent support efforts; Hong Kong underperformed. PBOC opted for a narrower-than-expected cut to the 1-year LPR alongside a surprise hold on the 5-year LPR,...
Market Outlook for the Week of 21 – 25 August
On Tuesday, the BoJ Core CPI y/y data is expected in Japan, providing insights into the nation's core inflation dynamics. Meanwhile, in the United States, attention will be on the release of Existing Home Sales data and the Richmond Manufacturing Index.Moving to...
Russell 2000 Technical Analysis – Watch these key levels
The Russell 2000 selloff has been remarkable with key levels being breached with no hesitation as the sentiment turned negative. The reason for the selloff is unclear as the US data has been supporting the soft-landing narrative but the sharp slowdown in the Chinese...
Japan MOF raises assumed long-term interest rate for the coming fiscal year
The assumed long-term interest rate for the fiscal year 2024/25 was previously at a record low of 1.1% but that has now been tweaked to 1.5%. The report says that the revision higher is due to rising yields after the BOJ's latest policy tweak last month. This does...
FX option expiries for 21 August 10am New York cut
There is just one to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for EUR/USD at the 1.0900 mark, which could help to limit any major upside push in the session ahead. There is a bit more of a lackluster mood right now, so the large expiries should also...
S&P 500 Technical Analysis – Key support in sight
The S&P 500 selloff has been remarkable with key levels being breached with no hesitation as the sentiment turned negative. The reason for the selloff is unclear as the US data has been supporting the soft-landing narrative but the sharp slowdown in the Chinese...
Germany July PPI -1.1% vs -0.2% m/m expected
Prior -0.3%The big chunk of the decline continues to be energy-driven with energy prices having fallen by 2.5% compared to June. The good news at least is that if you strip that out, producer prices were also still seen down 0.4% on the month. That should eventually...