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The EIA sees US share regions producing 9.399 million barrels per day in August, down 18,000 barrels per day after a 5,900 bpd rise in July.The evidence continues to mount that we're at the peak of US shale supply and that it will be tough to sustain later in the...
The Russell 2000 is particularly strong today, aided by bank stocks, industrials and technology.Typically, the Russell tracks global growth sentiment but it's headed in the opposite direction to copper and oil today as the world frets about China but cheers on a...
Bitcoin hit at session low in the past hour, briefly trading below $30,000. It has since bounced back above that level though as the range since mid-June holds.Bitcoin jumped from $26,000 to $31,500 after Blackrock and several others filed applications to list bitcoin...
The Kerch bridge was once again attacked today, this time likely by water-based drones. The automotive part of the bridge was damaged while the rail bridge was left intact. It's a critical logistics transportation hub from Russia to Crimea to support the war. Two...
The US dollar saw some positive flows early in New York trading but it has given them back despite rising long-term yields. AUD/USD (below) fell as low as 0.6788 but has rebounded to 0.6820 while the euro fell to 1.1204 before bouncing to 1.1232.The main event this...
Goldman Sachs economist Jan Hatzius has cut the chances of a US recession to 20% from 25% previously."The probability of a U.S. recession has fallen further as both recent data and ongoing fundamentals point to rapid — and mostly painless — disinflation from here," he...
EURUSD dailyCredit Agricole views EUR/USD as expensive relative to its estimated short-term fair value. The bank also notes that the euro is the most overbought currency in G10 FX, according to its positioning data. Additionally, the EUR nominal effective exchange...
The US-based semiconductor industry association has called on the Biden administration to refrain from further sanctions on US microchip sales to China.The association called for the the restrictions to be narrow and clearly defined. Here is the statement:The...
The AUDUSD has a unique symmetry that has retracement levels of the sharp move lower in June equal to the retracement levels of the sharp move higher in July in the pair (you have to see it on the video to believe it). The AUDUSD pair did move up last week and tested...
A New York Times article from last week on the US efforts to curb Chinese access to microchips is eyeopening. ‘An Act of War’: Inside America’s Silicon Blockade Against China is the title of the article and it's not overstated. It outlines how on Oct 7 of last year,...
The major indices last week rose with the NASDAQ leading the way. The Dow industrial average gained and is working on a 5 day winning streak. The S&P and NASDAQ moved lower on Friday snapping therefore day streak to the upside.Today, the Dow is lagging along with...
The GBPUSD continues to probe to the downside after testing a key target on the daily chart near 1.31465 on Friday. The high price reached 1.3142 and backed off.The modest corrective move to the downside on Friday and again today has allowed for the 100-hour moving...
The EURUSD is stuck in the mud. The low to high trading range is only 35 pips. That is about half of the 70 or so PIP trading range seen over the last 22 trading days (around a month of trading). The small range begs for a range extension today. Be on the lookout for...
The USDJPY is bouncing higher in early US trading, and in the process is testing/breaking above the 100 hour MA at 138.83 and looks toward the high of a swing area up near 139.00. Move above that area and the door opens for more upside probing after last week's run...
The US dollar is catching some bids as New York trading ramps up to start the week, led by USD/JPY.This might be a reaction to the softer Chinese data earlier and to Janet Yellen talking about potential outbound investment controls related to China. It could also be a...
Prior was +6.6DetailsNew orders +3.3 versus +3.1 last monthShipments +13.4 versus +22.0 last month Prices paid +16.7 versus +22.0 last month Employment +4.7 versus -3.6 last month prices received +3.9 versus +9.0 last month Inventories -4.9 versus -6.0 last monthSix...
Prior was -1.4%Sales of $83.6 billion in MaySales up in 4 of 7 subsectors, led by the machinery, equipment and supplies, the miscellaneous, and the motor vehicle and motor vehicle parts and accessories subsectorsInventories -0.2%This was the largest monthly increase...
Headlines:Markets:JPY leads, NZD lags on the dayEuropean equities lower; S&P 500 futures down 0.1%US 10-year yields down 3.3 bps to 3.787%Gold up 0.1% to $1,957.18WTI crude down 1.3% to $74.47Bitcoin flat at $30,202The dollar is keeping more mixed today after last...
US Treasury 10-year yields (%) daily chartThe latest retreat continues to weigh on yields, with bonds still catching a bid today in European morning trade. The drop last week comes after 10-year yields met its March highs near 4.09% before falling back below the key...
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming our world, introducing profound changes in numerous domains, including writing emails, browsing the web, and even stock picking and trading. Yet, as I watched my dog, Mika, the thought occurred to me: how far are we willing...