Prior 56.2Manufacturing PMI 44.6 vs 46.0 expectedPrior 45.8Composite PMI 53.3 vs 53.5 expectedPrior 54.1The contrast between the services and manufacturing readings were already outlined earlier by the French and German reports. Despite the divergence in fortunes, the...
HSBC expects ECB to hike rates three more times in the months ahead
This is one of the more hawkish calls as the firm sees the ECB raising interest rates by 25 bps in June, July and then September. For some context, money markets are just pricing in a peak of 3.70% at the moment when it comes to ECB rates. That is just under two more...
Germany May flash manufacturing PMI 42.9 vs 45.0 expected
Prior 44.5Services PMI 57.8 vs 55.3 expectedPrior 56.0Composite PMI 54.3 vs 53.5 expectedPrior 54.2Once again, it's another heavily contrasting report in Germany as manufacturing conditions deteriorate further but that is offset by stronger activity in the services...
Dollar keeps steadier to start European morning trade
As stocks are losing a bit of ground to start the session, the dollar is finding a decent footing now. Looking to the antipodeans, AUD/USD is down 0.3% to 0.6635 with NZD/USD down 0.2% to 0.6270 on the day as the narrow ranges from earlier start to stretch...
France May flash services PMI 52.8 vs 54.0 expected
Prior 54.6Manufacturing PMI 46.1 vs 46.0 expectedPrior 45.6Composite PMI 51.4 vs 52.0 expectedPrior 52.4The readings are slightly softer than estimated but still points to growth in the French economy in May, albeit at a slower pace. The headline reading is a...
European equities keep slightly lower at the open
Eurostoxx -0.2%Germany DAX -0.3%France CAC 40 -0.3%UK FTSE -0.2%Spain IBEX -0.2%The DAX continues a bit of a retreat after having briefly hit fresh record highs last week, with the market mood keeping on edge in the past few sessions. S&P 500 futures were higher...
Trade ideas thread – European session 23 May 2023
For the most part, we are holding more or less the same in the major currencies space with exception to a decline in the yen. USD/JPY has now worked its way back above 138.00 as buyers keep poised in search of a push towards 140.00 next. That comes as Treasury yields...
FX option expiries for 23 May 10am New York cut
There is just one to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold.That being for USD/CHF at 0.8975, which sits in between both the 100 and 200-hour moving averages at 0.8998 and 0.8973 respectively at the moment. That could see price action be more cornered in...
Russia touts positive relations with China, says trade turnover may reach $200 billion
It is no surprise to see Russia talk up their deepening ties with China as both countries have not been shy to reaffirm their support for one another in recent times. For some context, Russia's trade turnover with China increased by almost a third - nearing $190...
Profit-taking in Japanese stocks?
Japanese stocks have gone parabolic since a week ago, as investor optimism returned and that saw the Nikkei break out to its highest levels since 1990 last week. There was talk of foreign investors coming in big time, amid a change in heart on the outlook of the...
It is PMI day in Europe today
Major currencies are not hinting at much today, with narrow ranges prevailing so far. All eyes remain on the dollar with EUR/USD still unable to make up its mind on a downside break below 1.0800. Meanwhile, USD/JPY did bounce strongly back above 138.00 yesterday and...
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorrie Logan speaks Tuesday
09:00 US Eastern time / 1300 GMT: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorrie Logan gives welcome remarks before the Technology-Enabled Disruption Conference: Uncertainty and Prospects for Disruptive Investments conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of...
BoE Gov Bailey, with Pill, Mann & Tenreyro will appear before the UK parliament on Tuesday
0915 GMT / 05:15 US Eastern time will see Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, Chief Economist Huw Pill and Monetary Policy Committee members Catherine Mann and Silvana Tenreyro questioned in front of the UK parliament's Treasury Committee about the central bank's...
US debt limit talks have finished for Monday, no further comments from the negotiators
> US debt limit talks have finished for Monday, no further comments from the negotiators <!--> --> <!--> --> The leaders' meeting finished a few hours ago, ICYMI:Staff-level talks commenced soon after. These have finished up for the evening. No...
European Central Bank speakers Tuesday, 23 May 2023 include De Guindos and Nagel
0715 GMT / 03:15 US Eastern time: Keynote address by Vice-President of the European Central Bank Luis de Guindos at 3rd Annual European Financial Integration Conference "What is the state of Eurozone financial integration in 2023?" 1730 GMT / 13:30 US Eastern time:...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Major FX rangebound
Asian markets spent another session fretting over US debt limit talks and developments. In the thin ‘twilight zone’ between US regular trading hours close and Japan’s open US President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy once again held talks. Comments from Biden and...
US Energy Dept cancels US$200mn grant to lithium battery company over alleged China links
On Monday the U.S. Energy Department cancelled a $200 million grant for lithium battery company Microvast HoldingsNews report citing an unnamed "source familiar with the matter".Republican lawmakers cited concerns over the firm's alleged links to China's government...
More on central banks, governments rigging Libor, and then jailing scapegoat traders
Earlier post on this is here:In that poist there is a link to an unfortunately gated report from the UK Times. However, the BBC has an ungated report that covers much ground here:evidence indicates that in October 2008, central banks including the Bank of England, the...
Chinese tabloid says there is no basis for long-term yuan depreciation
An early Friday funny from the Chinese Communist Party's tabloid Global Times, blaming the weak yuan on anything and everything except faltering performance in the Chinese economy. Its hard to know where to start with this laughable piece. If you want a chuckle, here...
UBS warns that credit & growth negatives not being adequately reflected in rising equities
A snippet from UBS on their concerns over US equity pricing. Analysts at the bank say they don't think the likelihood of tighter credit conditions and lower growth is adequately reflected in US equity market pricing todayUBS instead advise investors to get into high...