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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 tracker rises to 2.4% from 2.3%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 tracker rises to 2.4% from 2.3%

Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q2 growthThe Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q2 growth estimate moves up to 2.4% from 2.3% on July 10. In their own words:The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 2023 is 2.4 percent on...

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Gold shines as yields fall, nearing $2000 mark

Gold shines as yields fall, nearing $2000 mark

Gold daily chartChinese reports of rates cuts and stimulus are helping to lift commodities today and gold is riding that momentum to a $28 gain to $1982.It's also getting help from the bond market as European yields tumble and US rates follow them lower. The market is...

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Italian 10-year yields fall to 4.0%

Italian 10-year yields fall to 4.0%

Have a look at the chart of Italian 10-year yields:BPTsThat is a massive wedge shaping up and we're now back testing the downside. The 17 bps drop today is part of a 41 bps drop in the past six trading days.German bund yields are also down 10 bps today as the market...

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US business inventories for May +0.2% versus 0.2% expected

US business inventories for May +0.2% versus 0.2% expected

Inventories to sales ratioPrior month 0.2% revised to 0.1%Business inventories 0.2% versus 0.2% expectedRetail inventories ex-autos -0.1% versus -0.3% last monthIn May, the combined value of distributive trade sales and manufacturers' shipments reached an estimated...

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US July NAHB housing market index 56 vs 56 expected

US July NAHB housing market index 56 vs 56 expected

NAHB housing market indexPrior was 55Details:Current single family home sales 62 versus 61 in JuneHome sales over next 6 months 60 versus 62 in June Index of prospective buyers 40 versus 37 in JuneSome angst about mortgage rates may have crept back into this series...

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USDJPY consolidates but below the 100 hour MA at 138.457

USDJPY consolidates but below the 100 hour MA at 138.457

The USDJPY has tried to move above its 100 hour moving average at 138.457 (blue line in the chart below). The price moved above that moving average during trading yesterday, and could not sustain the momentum. Today, the price tried again but again failed. Getting and...

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Major indices trading lower in early US trading

Major indices trading lower in early US trading

The major US stock indices are trading lower in early trading. The declines are led by the NASDAQ index which is down around -0.3%. The Dow industrial average which is on a 6-day winning streak is trading above and below unchanged. A snapshot the market currently...

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US May industrial production -0.5% versus 0.0% expected

US May industrial production -0.5% versus 0.0% expected

Prior was -0.2% (revised to -0.5%)Manufacturing output -0.3% vs 0.0% expectedPrior output +0.1% (revised to -0.2%)Capacity utilization 78.9% vs 79.5% expectedThis is a soft reading that takes the shine off the strong retail sales data earlier. It's certainly a...

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Canada June CPI 2.8% y/y versus 3.0% expected

Canada June CPI 2.8% y/y versus 3.0% expected

Prior was 3.0%CPI m/m % vs +0.3% expectedPrior m/m reading was 0.4%Gasoline prices -% vs -18.3% y/y in prior month Gasoline prices % m/m vs -0.8% prior monthEx gasoline +4.0% y/y vs +4.4% priorFood +8.3% y/y vs +8.3% y/y priorMortgage interest costs 30.1% y/y vs 4.9%...

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