Copper continues to be tightly correlated with what happens in China. In fact, we saw strong rallies following news of more policy support from the Chinese authorities, but the ugly economic data eventually prevailed on the sentiment and led to a big selloff....
Eurozone Q2 GDP second estimate +0.3% vs +0.3% q/q prelim
This matches the initial estimates and is a bit of a surprise given how downbeat the recent data is. Eurostat does note that there could be an outlier though, with Irish GDP jumping by 3.3% - driven by the taxation reasons, which is seeing an oversized impact among...
Eurozone June industrial production +0.5% vs -0.1% m/m expected
Prior +0.2%; revised to 0.0%This is a welcome beat and looking at the breakdown, it is largely driven by a rebound in energy production (+0.5%) which fell by over 2% in May. Meanwhile, there were falls observed in intermediate goods (-0.9%), capital goods (-0.7%),...
Sterling holds post-CPI gains for now
Cable is up 0.4% to 1.2456 and EUR/GBP is also seen down 0.2% to 0.8565 on the day currently. It points to decent albeit light gains for the pound after the UK CPI report earlier here. So, where does the pound go from here?For starters, the technicals aren't really...
UF AWARDS Global 2023 Nominations Are Drawing to a Close
Excitement is rising as the UF AWARDS Global 2023 Nomination Round is quickly coming to an end. With so many financial and fintech industry leaders battling for global recognition, the competition is tight.Setting the standard of global excellence in the financial...
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Market Update – August 16 – Risk-off flows; Stock markets remain under water
Much stronger than expected retail sales was the main headline and provided a brief spark to Treasury bears. The longer-term Treasury yields hit their highest level this year, i.e. 10-year US Treasury rose to 4.22%, its highest level since November 2022. There was...
WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis – The fakeout might be a big bearish signal
Crude Oil has been rallying strongly in the past couple of months as the prospects of more economic stimulus from China, the resilience of other advanced economies and the production cuts gave the black gold a tailwind to reach the key $83 level. The first breakout of...
Gold (XAU/USD) Flirts with $1900 Support as Fed Minutes Loom
GOLD PRICE FORECAST: Recommended by Zain Vawda Get Your Free Gold Forecast Get My Guide MOST READ: USD/CAD Retreats Following Hot Canadian Inflation DataGold prices continue to hover around the $1900 support handle following a brief push lower yesterday. Sellers were...
Dollar holds lightly lower to start the session
The dollar is just a touch lower on the day, as traders are settling into European morning trade. EUR/USD is up 0.2% to 1.0925 while USD/JPY is down 0.1% to 145.43 currently. That said, both pairs are stuck in a 27 pips range and a 37 pips range respectively so...
GBPJPY Technical Analysis – Mixed picture but the bullish bias prevails
The BoE hiked by 25 bps as expected as the UK CPI missed expectations across the board and UK employment report showed a mixed picture with both the unemployment rate and wage growth higher. The central bank seems to be leaning more on the less hawkish side as a key...
USDCHF Technical Analysis – Watch this resistance zone for another rally
Last week, the US CPI came basically in line with expectations, but the good news is that the Core M/M reading once again printed at 0.2%. The less good news is that the US Initial Claims spiked higher, but Continuing Claims remained solid. We have already seen Claims...
UK July CPI +6.8% vs +6.8% y/y expected
Prior +7.9%Core CPI +6.9% vs +6.8% y/y expectedPrior +6.9%The headline reading is as per expected, reflecting the big decline in household energy bills in the month of July. But it is all about the core reading, and that is keeping more stubborn and unchanged at 6.9%...
FX option expiries for 16 August 10am New York cut
There aren't any major ones to take note of for the day. As such, trading sentiment will rely more on the technicals (which are favouring the dollar) and also the broader market mood (which the bond market is still being a key influence).For more information on how to...
The things to watch out for in the UK CPI report later
Let's jump right into this. The first thing to note is that headline annual inflation is estimated to fall from 7.9% in June to 6.8% in July. That sounds about right given the near 20% decline in household energy bills but also as food price inflation is supposedly...
How does the Fed pricing look now?
If the narrative is to keep rates higher for longer, then the US economy is certainly doing its part in helping the Fed achieve that. The non-farm payrolls and consumer inflation reports have served to validate the notion that perhaps we don't need any more rate...
Accelerated moves from the US to cut research ties with China over security concerns
The Wall Street Journal carries the report on some U.S. lawmakers pushing to let a landmark agreement to cooperate on science and technology, signed in 1979 and renewed routinely since, expire this month.The gist of the story:Rep. Mike Gallagher (R., Wis.), the...
More to come from the RBNZ tomorrow. Parliament appearance, Orr and Hawkesby speaking also
Official from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will follow up on today's statement and press conference on Thursday, 17 August 2023. RBNZ officials will appear before the parliament's Finance and Expenditure CommitteeLater, Deputy Governor Christian Hawkesby will speak...
RBNZ Governor Orr says the higher OCR track is not forward guidance
RBNZ Governor Orr's press conference following the Bank's policy statement earlier. rise in OCR track is not forward guidance, not a strong signal out the Bank's next movewary about too much on ratesis encouraged to see inflation fallinflation is still too highthe...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: RBNZ leaves cash rate at 5.5%, as expected
The focus of the session was on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy decision. The Bank left its cash rate unchanged for the second meeting in a row, as was almost unanimously expected. While on central banks, the People’s Bank of China fixing of the...