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AUDUSD Forex Analysis – Retest & Failure At 0.6500 Level

AUDUSD Forex Analysis – Retest & Failure At 0.6500 Level

Join Senior Market Strategist & Trading Mentor Duncan Cooper as he watches price levels on the AUDUSD daily and 15-minute charts.Price has rallied back to the 0.6500 level.0.6490 - 0.6500 the daily resistance level and the Figure.Watching for price to rally and...

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Fed Rate Hike Expectations Sensitive to Jobs Data

Fed Rate Hike Expectations Sensitive to Jobs Data

USD: Price action highlights potential for turnaroundAfter reaching a low of 4.73% on August 10th, the UST 2-year note yield has steadily climbed, hitting a peak of 5.10% on the following Monday. This translates to a 37-basis point increase in the 2-year yield over...

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Germany August unemployment change 18k vs 10k expected

Germany August unemployment change 18k vs 10k expected

Prior -4kUnemployment rate 5.7% vs 5.7% expectedPrior 5.6%German unemployment rose more than expected in August, albeit slightly. The number of people out of work increased by ~18k to 2.63 million with the jobless rate ticking a little higher to 5.7% on the month. I'd...

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BOE’s Pill: No room for complacency on inflation

BOE’s Pill: No room for complacency on inflation

We need to see the job through on inflationWe need to ensure we do enough on policyBut there is the possibility of doing too much in the fight against inflationPolicy needs to be sufficiently restrictive for long enoughFor the BOE, they need to be wary about the...

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ECB rate hike bets trimmed in volatile start to the session

ECB rate hike bets trimmed in volatile start to the session

It nudged up to a high of around ~60% earlier after the French inflation numbers but was quickly dragged back down and Schnabel's indecisive comments here are also not really helping with confidence about another rate hike. It's a volatile one to start the day but at...

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A mixed open for European indices today

A mixed open for European indices today

Eurostoxx -0.1%Germany DAX +0.1%France CAC 40 -0.1%UK FTSE -0.1%Spain IBEX +0.1%This comes as US futures are also little changed on the day but there is some back and forth action on ECB pricing. Despite the hotter French inflation numbers here, we are actually seeing...

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Dow Jones Technical Analysis – Key area in sight

Dow Jones Technical Analysis – Key area in sight

This first half of the week was highlighted by big misses in the US economic data like Job Openings, Consumer Confidence and ADP. These might be the first signs that a recession is indeed on the horizon as the labour market is starting to show weakness. In fact, the...

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France August preliminary CPI +4.8% vs +4.6% y/y expected

France August preliminary CPI +4.8% vs +4.6% y/y expected

Prior +4.3%HICP +5.7% vs +5.4% y/y expectedPrior +5.1%Uh oh. Inflation dynamics in France are proving to be more stubborn than anticipated and the rise here is surely going to lead to the bettors pricing in a stronger likelihood of a rate hike by the ECB for next...

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France Q2 final GDP +0.5% vs +0.5% q/q prelim

France Q2 final GDP +0.5% vs +0.5% q/q prelim

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

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Germany July retail sales -0.8% vs +0.3% m/m expected

Germany July retail sales -0.8% vs +0.3% m/m expected

Prior -0.8%Retail sales -2.2% vs -1.0% y/y expectedPrior -1.6%Consumption activity in Germany continues to be hurt by high inflation mostly. And this is not a good look for the economy especially with a manufacturing recession and now the services sector flipping over...

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BOJ’s Nakamura: Monetary policy does not target FX

BOJ’s Nakamura: Monetary policy does not target FX

FX moves have big impact on pricesBOJ closely watching impact on yen moves on the economy, pricesWeak yen benefits exports, tourism but is negative for domestic-driven firms and householdsDecision on when to end negative rates depends on economic developmentsIf Japan...

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FX option expiries for 31 August 10am New York cut

FX option expiries for 31 August 10am New York cut

There isn't any significant expiries to take note of for the day. As such, trading sentiment will rely more on the broader market mood. And in that lieu, a lot will hinge once again on US data as outlined here.For more information on how to use this data, you may...

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