Headlines:Markets:JPY leads, NZD lags on the dayEuropean equities higher; S&P 500 futures up 0.2%US 10-year yields down 4 bps to 3.966%Gold up 0.6% to $1,936.05WTI crude up 0.7% to $73.50Bitcoin down 1.2% to $30,409It was a bit of a mixed session today in European...
Rotation picking up all around
With few exceptions, the worst performing tech stocks yesterday were very well-known names that have been on the lips of every trader interested in US equities for months. We had already started to see something similar about 1 month ago: the best-performing stocks...
Which comes first? Low inflation or the economy breaking?
In March, we started to get a rehash of the saying 'the Fed will keep hiking until it breaks something'. And when the banking crisis came along, there were many that thought "yup, that is it". During that time, inflation was still high and markets were in for a spicy...
USD/JPY inches closer towards 140.00 mark as the climb down continues
I'm not going to keep beating a dead horse but with the retreat in bond yields today, it is adding to the downside momentum in USD/JPY at the moment. 10-year Treasury yields are down 4.6 bps to 3.960% and that is keeping a drag on the currency pair, which is down 0.8%...
US June NFIB small business optimism index 91.0 vs 89.4 prior
Prior 89.4US small business confidence hits a 7-month high in June as sentiment is starting to turn more optimistic (more like less pessimistic perhaps) on the economy. Sales expectations improved further n the month but the tight labour market continues to drive...
China June M2 money supply +11.3% vs +11.2% y/y expected
Prior +11.6%New yuan loans ¥3.05 trillion vs ¥2.34 trillion expectedPrior ¥1.36 trillionBroad money growth continues to slow further in China as the government continues to have to balance out tightening credit conditions and providing more stimulus. New loans for the...
USDCAD Technical Analysis – Bullish Bias Intact
The NFP report last Friday missed expectations for the first time after 14 consecutive beats. The other data though were still all solid with the average hourly earnings ticking higher, which is not what the Fed would like to see. In fact, the market expectations for...
Germany July ZEW survey current conditions -59.5 vs -60.0 expected
Prior -56.5Outlook -14.7 vs -10.5 expectedPrior -8.5The mood is darkening in the German economy as sentiment continues to deteriorate as seen in the ZEW survey. The economic climate for the months ahead is also seen falling further to its lowest since December last...
How Much Money Do You Need to Trade?
Trading in financial markets can be an exciting and potentially lucrative endeavor. However, one common question that arises is: How much money do you need to trade? The answer to this question depends on various factors, including your trading goals, risk tolerance,...
Gold hopeful in latest upside push today
The yellow metal has struggled in the last two months as price corrects lower but have we found a bottom? The $1,900 mark is where the downside momentum seems to be stalling, with price also hanging on at the 61.8 Fib retracement level at around $1,904:Gold (XAU/USD)...
AUD/USD continues to struggle for upside momentum, for now at least
AUD/USD daily chartA stronger yuan and a better risk mood yesterday doesn't seem to be enough to spark a stronger rebound in AUD/USD, after having bounced off the 0.6600 level twice now in the past few weeks.While the dollar is struggling, the aussie is unable to...
European equities hold higher at the open today
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
GBPUSD Technical Analysis – US CPI in Focus
The US NFP last Friday has finally missed expectations for the first time after 14 consecutive beats. The other details in the report though were almost all good and the average hourly earnings ticked higher, which is not what the Fed would want to see. In fact, the...
ECB’s Villeroy: We are close to the peak of interest rates
Once we hit the peak, we will need to stay at that level for a whileWe are starting to have good news on inflationInflation will continue to decline and will be back at 2% by 2025We've heard this all before. In other words, they are still leaving the door open for...
Cable resumes upside push after jobs data
GBP/USD daily chartThe pound is taking heart from the UK labour market report earlier here, with cable now moving up from 1.2870 to 1.2905 on the day. The softness in the dollar is also part of the reason but the latest push in the last 15-20 minutes is definitely...
UK June payrolls change -9k vs 23k prior
Prior 23k; revised to 20kMay ILO unemployment rate 4.0% vs 3.8% expectedPrior 3.8%May employment change 102k vs 125k expectedPrior 250kMay average weekly earnings +6.9% vs +6.8% 3m/y expectedPrior +6.5%; revised to +6.7%May average weekly earnings (ex bonus) +7.3% vs...
Germany June final CPI +6.4% vs +6.4% y/y prelim
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Trade ideas thread – European session 11 July 2023
Are we headed towards the next leg lower in the dollar? Well, there's certainly an argument to be made with EUR/USD testing waters above 1.1000 again and GBP/USD moving up to near 1.2900 - its highest levels since April last year. The former has key resistance at the...
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FX option expiries for 11 July 10am New York cut
There aren't any significant expiries to take note of for the day. As such, trading sentiment will continue to rely more on the technicals and the risk mood before we get to the US CPI data tomorrow.A couple of key ones to watch will be EUR/USD as it begins to run...