> The economic calendar in the Asian Pacific session The key releases for August 8, 2023 <!--> --> <!--> The economic calendar in the Asian Pacific session will be focused on the China CPI data. NZ inflation expectations for the 3Q will also be...
The tell in USD/JPY
In financial markets, the simplest trade is usually the best one. In the forex market, it's rate differentials.If we look at the post-covid period in the forex market, the defining feature has been yen weakness. That has come on the heels of rate hikes around the...
Impressive day for oil as it rallies $3 from the lows
It was looking bleak for the oil bulls earlier today as crude prices fell $2 on worries about the Chinese economy. But the buyers put on a tour de force in New York trading, taking WTI to $83.03 from $79.90.This kind of turnaround on a day with a poor risk backdrop is...
Fresh banking troubles provide a fresh bid for bitcoin
Bitcoin dailyBitcoin is in the midst of its best day in almost a month. It's up 2.3%, or $752 to $29,925 as it threatens to retake $30,000 for the first time in a week. The catalyst for the buying appears to be the Moody's downgrade of several medium-sized US banks...
Credit Suisse: USD/CAD eyes “double bottom” base, with potential to move higher
USDCAD dailyCredit Suisse analyzes the USD/CAD currency pair and identifies a potential "double bottom" base formation, indicative of a more substantial move upwards. Here are the critical details:Potential Double Bottom Base: Credit Suisse sees a possibility for a...
US sells 3-year notes at 4.398% vs 4.416% WI
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Canadian dollar bounces back as oil prices turn positive
USDCAD 10 minsUSD/CAD has given back gains on broad Canadian dollar strength, thanks to a big rebound in oil prices.The pair is trading at 1.3435 from a high of 1.3501 just a few hours ago. Data from Canada today was soft but trading in the loonie has been about weak...
Fed’s Harker: We will probably start cutting rates sometime next year
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
EIA boosts US oil output forecasts
EIA sees 12.76m bpd this year vs 12.56m bpd priorSees 13.09m bpd next year vs 12.85m bpd priorSees 2024 production exit rate at 13.4m bpdLowers 2024 world oil demand forecast by 30,000 bpd, which is a 1.61m bpd increase2023 world oil demand growth unchanged at 1.76...
Goldman Sachs: Expectations for US CPI print on Thursday, lower than consensus
Goldman Sachs shares its outlook on the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July, with expectations slightly lower than the general consensus. Here are the key details:July Core CPI Prediction: Goldman expects a 0.15% increase in core CPI for July,...
European equity close: Italy lags in a rough outing
Closing changes:Stoxx 600 -0.3%German DAX -1.2%UK FTSE 100 -0.4%French CAC -0.8%Italy MIB -2.2%Spain IBEX -0.7%It's not a pretty picture anywhere today but the UK held up relatively well today while Italy was battered. A look across the charts shows a painful series...
NY Fed: Household debt rose 0.1% in Q2
Credit card balances rose 4.6% to a record $1.03 trillionAuto loan balances rose $20 billion to $1.58 trillionMortgage balances largely unchanged at $12.01 trillionThese numbers are: 1) a reminder of how mortgages are the overwhelming sources of debt 2) How credit...
China worries weigh heavily on markets
China has been a case of serial disappointment for the market this year and that was highlighted once again by today's economic data.Exports fell 14.5% y/y compared to 12.5% expected. That's a relatively minor miss and could be somewhat forgiven due to the covid...
US IBD/TIPP economic optimism 40.3 vs 43.0 expected
One-year lowAverage hourly wage rose 4.4% vs. a year earlierThe six-month outlook for the U.S. economy fell 0.3 point to 35.2The personal finances subindex fell 1.3 points to 48.7This is a low-level indicator but highlights some of the pessimism in the...
US June wholesale sales -0.7% vs +0.1% expected
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
US equity selling accelerates after the open
The S&P 500 is down 0.9% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.0% shortly after the open. The Nasdaq Composite is 1.3% lower.Banks are under heavy pressure with the KRE bank index down 4.1%.Commodity-related stocks are also selling off on fears about the...
US equity futures are off the lows after comments from Harker
SPX futures 10 minsS&P 500 futures are down 29 points shortly before the open to 4509. They fell as low as 4495 but some bids have arrived following dovish comments from Harker. The catalysts for selling were soft Chinese economic data and bank downgrades....
Fed’s Barkin: GDP remains solid and labor market is ‘remarkably resilient’
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
More from Harker: We’re going back to a more-normal circumstance
> Central Banks > More from Harker: We're going back to a more-normal circumstance Central Banks More from Harker <!--> --> Adam Button Tuesday, 08/08/2023 | 12:57 GMT-0 08/08/2023 | 12:57 GMT-0 <!--> --> Fiscal stimulus is burning offSupply...
Saudi cabinet affirms support for OPEC+ precautionary efforts
The Saudi cabinet says the Kingdom will continue boosting OPEC+ precautionary efforts to support stability in oil markets.WTI fell as much as $2 today and touched $79.90 but has bounced slightly to $80.36. There are concerns about Chinese demand due to today's poor...