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It has been a mixed session on Wall Street where US500 and US100 lost 0.7% and 2.3% respectively but US30 wrapped up a ninth day of wins, its longest winning streak since 2017 and its highest intraday level since April 2022. This can feel like rotation -for now- after...
USD/JPY daily chartThis comes after the headlines here, which is disappointing yen bulls once again - whom have kept up hope for a potential policy tweak next week by the BOJ. 10-year JGB yields have also fallen down to 0.45% from around 0.48% at the start of the day....
The Japanese yen is falling further on the headline here, with the sources stating that the BOJ is not likely to introduce any changes to its yield curve control settings next week. Adding that many policymakers see no imminent need to take fresh steps on that matter,...
The ECB is expected to deliver another 25-basis point hike next week, while keeping all options open for September. This will mean the presser should be a tad more dovish than in June, when Lagarde signaled more tightening is underway. However, while a September hike...
Eurostoxx -0.3%Germany DAX -0.5%France CAC 40 +0.1%UK FTSE +0.1%Spain IBEX +0.1%It's a more mixed and tentative one as we get the session underway so we'll have to see how Wall Street takes to this later. For now, US futures are marginally higher by around 0.2% so...
The miss in the US CPI report triggered a heavy US Dollar selling across the board as the market started to see the end of the Fed tightening cycle. Moreover, the soft-landing narrative caused a strong positive risk sentiment in the markets as the labour market...
The miss in the US CPI report last week has led to a broad US Dollar weakness as the market anticipated one last hike at the July FOMC meeting. The falling inflation with a resilient labour market have also strengthened the soft-landing narrative and caused a positive...
Prior +0.3%; revised to +0.1%Retail sales -1.0% vs -1.5% y/y expectedPrior -2.1%; revised to -2.3%Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) +0.8% vs +0.2% m/m expectedPrior +0.1%; revised to 0.0%Retail sales (ex autos, fuel) -0.9% vs -1.6% y/y expectedPrior -1.7%; revised to...
US Dollar, Australian Dollar, Canadian Dollar, Mexican Peso Vs Japanese Yen – Outlook:USD/JPY steady after Japan nationwide price pressures re-accelerated last month.Key focus is now on BOJ meeting next week.How do the key JPY crosses look going into next week?...
The USDIndex on Thursday (20/07) rose to a 1-week high of +0.56% and closed above the psychological threshold of $100.00. Signs of strengthening in the US labour market were seen as weekly initial jobless claims fell to a 2-month low. US weekly initial jobless claims...
Well, it looks like the dollar is making a stand by putting its foot down to halt the rout from last week. USD/JPY is leading the charge this week in a reversal back above 140.00 now. I did say on Monday here that if the dollar was to drop further, it would need the...
Essentially, the cause of this "special" rebalance is the fact that have seen a significant rise in Big Tech shares amid the AI boom. Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Tesla have seen their stock price rise by roughly 60% on average this year and that is...
There is perhaps just one to take note of for the day, as highlighted in bold. That being for USD/CAD but it isn't one that should be too impactful since the expiries are split between 1.3145 ($446m) and 1.3155 ($661m). Adding to that, there isn't much technical...
Bank of Spain governor and European Central Bank Governing Council member Pablo Hernández de Cos is participat in a monetary conference organized by the Central Bank of Bolivia today.Coming up from 1340 GMT, which is 0940 US Eastern time de Cos, like many of his...
Morgan Stanely have made what they refer to as, quite rightly, a "sizeable upward revision" to their 2023 US economic growth forecast.Analysts at the bank now expect +1.7% Q4/Q4, from +0.6% previously. Morgan Stanley cite stronger-than-expected public investment as...
Data from Japan today showed all three of the major CPI rates remained much higher than the Bank of Japan 2% target. The 15th straight month that the inflation rate is above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target. I sound like a broken record on this, but the Bank of Japan...
Earlier from SAFE (China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange):SAFE with more specific yuan comments now: Yuan flexibility is increasing, market understanding of two-way fluctuation and 'risk neutral' also increasedFed tightening is coming to an end, spillover...
Earlier from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), China's FX regulator:More now: Will focus on preventing external risksChina's current account appears relatively strong resilienceTrend of maintaining reasonable current account surplus will not...
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China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange: Commercial banks purchase net $8.3 bln of forex in June vs $3.3 bln net purchase in MayCommercial banks purchase net $1.8 bln of forex in H1 The yuan weakened persistently in June. --The State Administration of Foreign...