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Why Canadian home prices are bulletproof

Why Canadian home prices are bulletproof

You've probably seen some version of these two charts before, they highlight the insane run-up in Canadian house prices compared to their richer neighbours to the south.The spread is clear here:via @deerpointmacroIt's led to outrageous house prices and looks...

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Trading Week Recap (05-09 June 2023)

Trading Week Recap (05-09 June 2023)

This was a slow week as the market is probably waiting for the next week’s US CPI report and the FOMC meeting. Nevertheless, we got some interesting developments on the macro side with big misses in a couple of US tier one data points, two surprising rate hikes and...

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How is the US consumer doing? It depends who you ask

How is the US consumer doing? It depends who you ask

The consensus headed into this year was that the US consumer would have deeply retrenched by now; instead, consumer spending has been the bedrock of a solid 2023 so far.Citigroup economists see storms on the horizon. with household available cashflow shrinking rapidly...

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Canada May employment -17.3K vs +23.2K expected

Canada May employment -17.3K vs +23.2K expected

Prior was 41.4KUnemployment rate 5.2% vs 5.1% expected (5.0% prior)Participation rate 65.5% vs 65.6% priorFull time -32.7K vs -6.2K priorPart time +15.5K vs +47.6K priorAverage hourly wages for permanent employees +5.1% y/y vs +5.2% priorTotal hours worked -0.4% m/m,...

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How’s the Fed outlook shaping up to be right now?

How’s the Fed outlook shaping up to be right now?

Here's a look at the changes in the Fed funds futures curve over the last one week and compared to a month ago:After the US jobs report on Friday last week, traders moved in to further price a higher for longer narrative by the Fed and that hasn't changed by much even...

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A mostly sideways session so far in European morning trade

A mostly sideways session so far in European morning trade

Major currencies are almost no different from the earlier snapshot here. EUR/USD is down slightly by 0.2% to 1.0760 but keeping within a 25 pips range only for the day. Meanwhile, USD/JPY is up 0.5% to 139.60 but again the pair is rather confined in between large...

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