UK RICS House Price Balance May: -30%expected -38, prior -39RICS' house price balance, which measures the difference between the percentage of surveyors seeing rises and falls in house pricesThe Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors' (RICS) measure of new buyer...
New Zealand Q1 data: Manufacturing sales volumes -2.1% q/q
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Goldman Sachs says widespread adoption of AI puts S&P500 fair value up to 14% higher
A snippet from Goldman Sachs on artificial intelligence. we assume that widespread AI adoption boosts productivity growth by 1.5% per year over a 10-year periodGS argues that such a scenario means:S&P 500 fair value would be 9% higher than today, holding all else...
There is circa US$3bn in FX option expiries at 140.00 in USD/JPY at the 10am NY cut today
Justin will be along later in the European session with the full suite of forex option expires for the 10am NY cut on Thursday, 8 June 2023. In the meantime note that there is an enormous expiry at 140.00 today, just over USD3bn amount. 10am NY time is still a good...
Soros’ CIO expects more US banks to fail – more problems lurking beneath the surface
Chief investment officer of Soros Fund Management Dawn Fitzpatrick spoke at a Bloomberg event/conference:expects more US banks to fail smaller lenders are particularly vulnerable“There’s more problems under the surface,” Regulators have auctioned off sizable...
MUFG sees limited scope for USD/JPY to move higher from its current level
This summary of MUFG on the yen is via the folks at eFX. For bank trade ideas, check out eFX Plus. For a limited time, get a 7 day free trial, basic for $79 per month and premium at $109 per month. Get it here. MUFG reports that the perceived lack of urgency from...
ICYMI: Druckenmiller sees profits down 20-30%, higher terminal Fed rate, but he likes NVDA
Legendary investor and market wizard Stanley Druckenmiller spoke on Wednesday.Greg had his comment on NVIDIA here:Also from the Druck were less bullish remarks: Sees corporate profits down 20% to 30% Says the Fed will end up with higher terminal rates Says stickier...
ICYMI: Yellen spoke Wednesday: lowering CPI a ‘top priority’ & supports crypto regulation
US Treasury Secretary Yellen spoke in a wide-ranging interview with CNBC on Wednesday.You can find the full transcript here.Some of the highlights: Says I see a path to bringing down inflation while maintaining strong labor market Seeing some signs of easing in labor...
Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Bank of Canada surprises with another rate hike
Markets:Gold down $21 to $1941US 10-year yields up 9.3 bps to 3.79%WTI crude oil up 80-cents to 72.54S&P 500 down 13 points to 4276, or -0.4%Russell 2000 +2.0%, Nasdaq -1.3%CAD leads, NZD lagsIt was a volatile one and there aren't many easy answers to explain the...
Economic calendar in Asia Thursday, 8 June 2023
Japanese economic growth data for the January - March quarter is due today.The flash reading for this is here:Its unlikely to move JPY around. There isn't anything on the data agenda today likely to move FX rates much at all upon release. Watch and listen for...
Trade ideas thread – Thursday, 8 June 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
NASDAQ index closes sharply lower
The NASDAQ index fell sharply in trading today, while the Dow Industrial average moved higher. The S&P index also moved lower. There is a rotation out of big cap tech and the industrials during trading todayA snapshot of the final market levels shows:Dow...
Morgan Stanley: EUR/USD expected to fall to 1.02 by year-end
Morgan Stanley predicts the EUR/USD exchange rate to fall to 1.02 by the end of the year, driven by defensive investor bias, positive carry, and slow local growth. This trend is somewhat mitigated by the ongoing shift in capital flows.As local yields rise and...
USDCHF tests yesterday’s high and 0.9100 level
USDCHF stalls near cluster of swing levels and trendlineThe USDCHF is having another up-and-down trading day today with the price trading above and below its near converged 100 and 200-hour moving averages (near 0. 9070).The early US sessions saw the price moving low...
US April consumer credit outstanding +23B vs +22B expected
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
WTI crude oil futures settle at $72.53
WTI crude oil futures tested a cluster of support near $71WTI crude oil futures are settling higher on the day. The prices settled at $72.53, up $0.79 or 1.10%. The high price reached $73.19. The low price was at $71.01.Looking at the hourly chart, at session lows,...
JP Morgan: High-conviction bearish EUR/USD Bias into the Summer months
The EURUSD daily chart is showing a double dojiAccording to JP Morgan, EUR/USD has stopped its decline from the April high of 1.1097 after reaching the March 78.6% retrace at 1.0637. Despite the lack of daily bullish pattern-based signals prior to the rebound, the...
USD/CAD erases the Bank of Canada move as US dollar rallies broadly
The Canadian dollar is back to where it was before the Bank of Canada decision to hike interest rates by 25 bps. The move took the overnight rate to 4.75%, which is the highest since 2001 and will add to the squeeze on consumers.Perhaps mitigating the decline was that...
AUDUSD trades to a new session low. Looks toward 50% midpoint of the May trading range.
AUDUSD moves to a new session lowThe AUDUSD is trading to a new session low at 0.66529. The pair has moved back into the trading range from after the RBA rate hike yesterday. Earlier today the price broke to a new high going back to mid-May. That move higher yesterday...
NASDAQ stocks hit the skids. Down 1% on the day
NASDAQ index falls back below the 50% midpointThe NASDAQ index has scooted lower and currently trades down -133.30 points or -1.01% at 13142.79. A low price reached 13133.98.The decline has taken the price back below the swing high going back to August 2022 at...