EUR/USD- 1.0795-10 (€751m)- 1.0825-35 (€556m)- 1.0915-20 (€619m)USD/JPY- 134.50 ($2.1bn)- 135.50 ($1.3bn)- 136.00-10 ($1.3bn)- 136.80 ($806m)- 137.00 ($503m)USD/CAD- 1.3400 ($1.2bn)- 1.3450 ($1.3bn)EUR/JPY- 141.00 (€1.0bn)There are a couple of big ones to take note...
A light one on the data docket in Europe today
Dollar bulls kept the faith in trading yesterday after a good set of US data releases, headlined by the retail sales report here. Odds of a 25 bps rate hike for next month moved up slightly but is now still just showing an 18% probability.Some Fedspeak also helped to...
Dollar holds steady ahead of European morning trade
The greenback held its ground in trading yesterday, helped out by a couple of US data points - most notably retail sales. USD/JPY in particular maintained a push above 136.00 and is now perhaps looking towards its 200-day moving average at 137.04 next.In broader...
Five ECB speakers ahead for Wednesday, 17 May 2023:
A busy session ahead for European Central Bank speakers:0715 GMT, 03:15 US Eastern time: Bank of Spain´s governor Pablo Hernández de Cos and ECB vice-president Luis de Guindos to take part in banking event0900 GMT, 0500 US Eastern time: Participation by ECB board...
Japan’s Topix hit its highest since August 1990 (Also, expectations for BOJ to widen YCC)
Japan’s Tokyo Price Index, also known as Topix, is up over 6% YTD. Topix is a broad index, with around 2,000 constituents.Soc Gen on the performance:Foreign investors are back – which says something about the nature of the equity market recovery in JapanThat is a less...
Bank of England Governor Bailey is speaking Wednesday, 17 May 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
BoA warn an extended US debt breach would mean a “severe recession” & Fed rate cuts in Q3
Bank of America on the US debt ceiling outlook:Should any X-date breach last a month or more and involve prioritization of debt payments it would mean immediately cutting spending by about 5% of GDPWhat this means is that:this would turn an otherwise mild recession...
ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Japan Q1 economic growth much better than expected
Preliminary GDP data for Japan in the January – March quarter was released today, coming in well above expectations at +0.4% q/q (versus the +0.1% that was the median consensus). While this is a solid expectation beat its still not overly quick growth, but it’s the...
Japan’s economy minister says the Q1 GDP data suggests continued economic recovery
Japan's economy minister Goto on the data earlier and its implications:need to carefully watch the impact of price rises on consumers Future economic growth will be moderate thanks to rising salaries, better attitudes, and a healthy hunger for company investment.To...
China state planner promises to boost consumption potential, manufacturing investments
The National Development and Reform Commission of the People's Republic of China (NDRC) says it:approved 56 fixed-asset investment projects worth a total of 378bn yuan in the January - April periodand for April alone it approved 14 fixed-asset investments worth 98bn...
Fund manager survey: more than half have “a structural de-rating view for China equities”
From the Bank of America Asia Fund Manager Survey (FMS), dour reading on the China outlook. China: from unabashedly bullish to fatigued skepticism The January Asia FMS professed an unambiguously bullish outlook for China. However, uneven economic recovery and...
“BoJ will probably revise its YCC policy at the upcoming June meeting.”
Japanese GDP data for January - March was printed earlier in the session, it showed a solid beat indeed:ING remarks, including the implication they see for the Bank of Japan Nune meeting:The easing of covid restrictions including border opening seems to have boosted...
AUD/USD has dribbled a few tics lower after the wages data
The data release is here:The q/q change missed expectations while the y/y slightly pipped higher at 3.7% the best in a decade. But with CPI at 7% real wages dropped. The RBA is wary of a wage-price spiral higher, there isn't much sign of this with the data today....
China new house prices for April +0.4% m/m
New home prices in China +0.4% m/m in April (prior was +0.44%)and -0.2% y/y (prior -0.8%)62 of 70 cities recorded higher prices m/m and 22 y/y prior 64 and 18 respectivelyFor non-new homes, 36 cities saw prices rise-The property sector is a key driver of economic...
Australian Q1 wages data +0.8% q/q (expected 0.9%)
Australian Wage Price Index for Q1 2023 (January - March)+0.8% q/qexpected 0.9%, prior 0.8%+3.7% y/yexpected 3.6%, prior 3.3%more to come --- The Australian Wage Price Index (WPI) is a quarterly measure of wage inflation and labour cost movements in Australia.Key...
PBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 6.9748 (vs. estimate at 6.9750)
People's Bank of China set the onshore yuan (CNY) reference rate for the trading session ahead.USD/CNY is the onshore yuan. Its permitted to trade plus or minus 2% from this daily reference rate.CNH is the offshore yuan. USD /CNH has no restrictions on its trading...
Singapore April NODX +2.7% m/m (vs. -3.1% expected)
Singapore Non-oil Domestic Exports (NODX) for April 2023+2.7% m/mexpected -3.1%, prior +18.4%-9.8% y/yexpected -9.4%, prior -8.3%--Singapore Non-oil Domestic Exports (NODX) measures the value of goods exported from Singapore excluding oil and petroleum products.an...
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Trade ideas thread – Wednesday, 17 May 2023
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9750 – Reuters estimate
People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank , is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminbi or RMB). The PBOC follows a managed floating exchange rate...