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This market isn’t afraid of tariff talk anymore

This market isn’t afraid of tariff talk anymore

The market reaction to today's 'reciprocal' tariff announcement from the White House revealed one of two things:Sell-the-fact (on the dollar) as this has been telegraphed for a weekIt's a toothless threat aimed at getting negotiating leverageI'm biased towards the...

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USDJPY reaches the cluster of MAs and finds some stall

USDJPY reaches the cluster of MAs and finds some stall

USDJPY has extended lower, reaching a key moving average (MA) cluster highlighted in earlier posts. This support zone, spanning 152.71 to 153.03, includes the 100-hour, 200-hour, 100-day, and 200-day MAs. The pair just touched a low of 152.917 within this range before...

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Core PCE is likely to fall given the PPI components

Core PCE is likely to fall given the PPI components

PPI mmAll the inflation news this week isn't as bad as it seems.Nick Timiraos from the WSJ and Samuel Tombs from Pantheon highlight that the components from PPI that go into PCE were "a game changer" for core PCE."Those PPI numbers were a game-changer for the January...

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A sign of softness is creeping in for Canadian consumers

A sign of softness is creeping in for Canadian consumers

Canadian Tire is a retailing giant in Canada with several banners that offer some insight into the health of the consumer.The company reported earnings today and it painted a picture of a sluggish consumer.Same store sales at the flagship store up 1.1% vs +2.9%...

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