USD/CNY weeklyJamie McGeever at Reuters is out with a good column on the conundrum for China as it looks to stimulate the economy. He highlights that the moves could spark a rally in the yuan and that USD/CNY could also fall as the US stimulates.He cites Stephen Jen...
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S&P 500 dips into negative territory after heavy Lebanon strikes
Reported heavy strikes in Beirut have put a risk-off mood into markets and the S&P 500 has hit a session low, falling into slightly negative territory.The market doesn't like war but it has mostly ignored the latest Middle East drama. This strike was said to...
Israel strikes Hezbollah HQ and targets its leader
Hezbollah leader Hassan NasrallahThe Primary Target of the latest Israeli Airstrike on Beirut is said to be Hezbollah leader, Hassan Nasrallah. The HQ is said to be located beneath residential buildings.Israel Defense Forces spokesperson Daniel Hagari said:“Moments...
European equity close: What’s not to like about this chart?
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The AUDUSD and NZDUSD are breaking to new highs. The USDCAD remains confined. What next?
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Geopolitics: Finding a diplomatic solution to end Israel/Hezbollah no longer likely
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Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 forecast +3.1% vs +2.9% prior
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Incoming Japan PM Ishiba: Japan will deploy fiscal stimulus if needed
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USDCHF sellers are testing a key support level Can the sellers push below and stay below?
The USDCHF is moved lower on the back of the PCE data today and that move has now taken the price of the USDCHF to 0.8400 target. Remember, that area is a low of an up-and-down trading range that has confined the pair going back to August 20. The high of the area...
The calls are mounting for the ECB to cut rates in October and beyond
LagardeBarclays is out with a note forecasting the ECB to cut by 25 basis points on October 17. They're behind the curve on that one as the market shifted dramatically in the past two weeks and is now pricing in a 94% chance of a cut. That's despite what prior ECB...
Modest gains in major indices to start the day
The US PCE data was better than expected but the market is having trouble rallying hard. Is it a movement out of the US into China. Europe and strong gains this week as well. Is it sell the news? Having said that, the S&P and Dow indices are trading at new...
US September UMich final consumer sentiment 70.1 vs 69.3 expected
Prelim was 69.0Prior was 67.9Current conditions 63.3 vs 62.9 prelim (61.3 prior)Expectations 74.4 vs 73.0 prelim (72.1 prior)1-year inflation 2.7% vs 2.7% prelim5-year inflation 3.1% vs 3.1% prelimThe final revisions are rarely a market mover but the chart illustrates...
Canada Q3 GDP still looking soft, larger cuts on the table
MacklemThe rates market is evenly-divided on whether the Bank of Canada will cut by 50 or 25 basis points on October 23.Today's GDP report was slightly better than forecast at +0.2% versus +0.1% expected but the advance August reading was flat. That has RBC estimating...
Healthcare hit: tech and industrials defy today’s downturn
Stock heatmap by FinViz.com Fri, 27 Sep 2024 13:46:15 GMTSector OverviewToday's stock market heatmap reveals a diverse landscape of sector performances. Notably, the healthcare sector is struggling, with Eli Lilly (LLY) leading the drop at -2.29%. Meanwhile,...
The USD is lower on PCE data. What are the technicals telling us in EURUSD, USDJPY &GBPUSD
The US PCE data was lower than expectations and it helped to push the USD lower. For the EURUSD, the price has moved above a swing area between 1.1181 and 1.11897. The next targets are at 1.1200 and the high for the week at 1.12130. Getting above those levels will...
Timiraos on why lower rates don’t necessarily mean lower rates
The WSJ's Nick Timiraos gets a bit into the weeds today in a column that highlights how borrowers might be reluctant to tap lower rates. That could make it more difficult for the Fed to generate an uplift in economic activity or stall the rise in unemployment.For me,...
US dollar slumps after softer inflation, China rate cut. AUD/USD hits 18 month high
The Australian dollar is at the highest levels since February 2023 as part of a broad selloff in the US dollar following softer US inflation data and China cutting lending rates.The definitive break above 0.6900 in AUD/USD cracks the June 2023 high and a series of...
Canada GDP for July 0.2% versus 0.1% expected
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China cuts borrowing cost of standing lending facility by 20 bps
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