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Analysts at MUFG say that it will be important that the data remain consistent with slowing inflation to support current Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations.What arguing that one month of stronger inflation data in August would not stop the Fed from cutting...
Goldman Sachs says that the US stock market may fall by the end of the year, citing the drag from: high valuations mixed growth prospects policy uncertainty But, say analysts, the probability of a bear market is low given the support for the economy from a healthy...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
Markets:Gold up $11 to $2516WTI crude oil down $2.58 to $66.13US 10-year yields down 5.1 bps to 3.65%S&P 500 up 0.45%JPY leads, CAD lagsUSD/CAD was particularly strong as Macklem's comments suggested an effort to put a 50 bps cut on the table for the October...
The broader stock indices closed higher for the second consecutive day this week. The gains were led by the Nasdaq index which tumbled -5.77% last week. After 2-days this week, the index is up 2.01%. The S&P which fell -4.25% last week, is up 1.61% after Monday...
We have Sarah Hunter, Assistant Governor (Economic) at the Reserve Bank of Australia speaking today. I've added it to the screenshot below, and I posted a little on what to listen out for earlier:After Hunter the calendar gets very bleak ... why do I always get to...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
The Canadian dollar is the weakest performer today and if you read between the lines in Tiff Macklem's comments, the Bank of Canada is trying to put the possibility of a 50 basis point cut in October on the table, particularly if upcoming GDP reports highlight ongoing...
In the long-running battle between stocks and bonds, the latter is usually right when it comes to the economy. Given that oil and the yen are also flagging trouble, the signs are hard to ignore.In early August, when US yields fell, it looked like a reaction to a...
The US yields are trading at new session lows. The two-year is trading at 3.598%. That's the lowest level going back to March 2023. The 10 year yield is an 3.642%. That's its lowest level going back to June 2023.The low in yields has the USDJPY also extending back...
CopperDr. Copper hasn't been in a good mood since May, when a speculative squeeze drove it to $5 followed by a sharp turn lower. It's currently flirting with $4 as the market frets about a global growth slowdown.Given the price action in bonds, JPY and oil, I think a...
As inflation in the US ramped and then rolled over, it was typical to get massive market moves on CPI data but as prices have cooled, so has the market reaction. Unfortunately, the magic is gone -- and now rests with non-farm payrolls as the Fed focuses on its...
High Yield:3.440%Previous: 3.81%WI Level at the time of the auction: 3.457%Tail: -1.7 bsPrevious: -0.2bpsSix-auction average: 0.1bpsBid-to-Cover: 2.66XDealers:10.45%Directs (a measure of domestic demand):11.3%Indirects (a measure of international demand):78.24%AUCTION...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
After a trend-like move like we saw to the upside in August, the price of the NZDUSD has been correcting lower over the last 9 or so trading days. The price action on Friday after the US jobs report saw a spike higher to swing area resistance at 0.6253, but then...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...
EUR/USD dailyThe street-low year-end forecast for the euro is 1.02 from Morgan Stanley. G10 FX strategist David Adams spoke in an interview with Bloomberg today highlighting the call.“There is plenty of scope for the market to refocus on the fact that the ECB could be...
The AUDUSD yesterday moved down to test a cluster of support defined by the 200 bar moving average on the 4- hour chart,100 day moving average, and the 38.2% retracement of the August trading rangeAll those levels come between 0.6642 and 0.66499 (call it 0.6650)....