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Credit Agricole argues that despite similarities, 2025 will not be a redux of the USD’s 2018 rally driven by Trump-era policies. Differences in economic conditions, monetary policy, and the USD’s current strength suggest that the dynamics underpinning the dollar’s...

Markets:Gold down $4 to $2562US 10-year yeilds up 2 bps to 4.44%WTI crude oil down $1.71 to $66.99S&P 500 down 1.3%JPY leads, GBP lagsThere wasn't a tidy narrative on Friday as trading started out with a 'sell everything' mode before bonds made something of a...

The shine of the election has run into uncertainty about tariffs and elevated P/Es. Pretty much all the gains after the open on post-election morning are now gone and the S&P 500 is now threatening the opening gap while the Nasdaq has already taken a decent...

US equities are making new lows but bonds have turned around.Ten-year Treasury yields touched the highest since May earlier today at 4.50% but have since turned around and are now down 1.6 bps on the day to 4.40%.US 10s, hourlyThat's a solid rejection but the next...

Until today, USD/JPY had rallied every day this week in impressive fashion.However after some tough talk from the finance minister today, there is some heavy selling. The pair is now down 201 pips to 154.23 as it's now cut through Wednesday's low.USD/JPY daily chartI...

Here is the problem with OPEC -- they're too optimistic about demand.At this time last year, they forecast world oil demand would rise to 104.36 million barrels per day this year. It was in stark contrast to the IEA at 102.78 mbpd and EIA at 102.34 mbpd.Skip ahead to...

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

KudlowA Wall Street Journal report says Trump is tiring of a “cold war” between Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent for the job as Treasury Secretary and is now looking at others.One is TV personality Larry Kudlow, who was director of the National Economic Council for...

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives,...

The US dollar is under some broadening pressure. It could be an unwind of fixing flows but it's something worth watching, particularly as Treasury yields come back down. Here is a look at AUD/USD, which at times has been a forerunner of risk appetite.AUD/USD 5 minsThe...